MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec966f15c8d13ebf3b159d4d122a6b52f250ab057993e046a00fcdd8163063e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Tigers | 53c | 80,000$42,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,599.98 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 47c | 42,275$19,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,869.13 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 47c | 8,275$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,889.18 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 12c | 6,757$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Guardians | 51c | 6,244$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…bdc1backed Guardians | 46c | 5,666$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 68c | 4,655$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.43 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 48c | 3,947$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 24c | 3,743$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers | 54c | 3,477$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.4 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 55c | 1,615$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.44 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Guardians | 29c | 1,461$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 46c | 1,298$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 58c | 1,283$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 34c | 1,078$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 48c | 1,032$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.34 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Guardians | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Guardians | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians | 5c | 883$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Tigers | 76c | 715.55$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.69 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 45c | 628.16$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Tigers | 50c | 603.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Tigers | 55c | 554.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Guardians | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Tigers | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Guardians | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 53c | 374$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 47c | 306.56$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 30c | 277$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 73c | 216.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 49c | 215$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 45c | 213.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 46c | 205.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Guardians | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…5c7cbacked Tigers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Guardians | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 43c | 184.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Guardians | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…b113backed Tigers | 54c | 119.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…036ebacked Guardians | 47c | 119.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Tigers | 76c | 119.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 35c | 112.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Tigers | 71c | 106.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Guardians | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…80f4backed Tigers | 54c | 96.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Guardians | 51c | 92.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tigers | 69c | 72.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 40c | 68.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Tigers | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Tigers | 66c | 61.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Tigers | 54c | 60.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…302abacked Tigers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Guardians | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Guardians | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tigers | 53c | 52.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Guardians | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Tigers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Tigers | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Tigers | 54c | 40.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…98bbbacked Tigers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Tigers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 48c | 38.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…74bcbacked Tigers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Guardians | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Tigers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Tigers | 69c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Guardians | 50c | 27.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb049…947fbacked Tigers | 74c | 27.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Guardians | 64c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Tigers | 51c | 25.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.