NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31be716f872ef738cf91a93c2fc732a714f489f334030df5d392b73183aa8524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,062,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,064,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,062,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,042 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Senators | 55c | 419,323$229,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,370.88 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Senators | 56c | 195,723$108,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,972.25 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 90,910$40,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,909.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 45c | 84,621$38,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,079.53 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 35c | 80,000$27,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,699.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens | 44c | 65,000$28,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,850 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Canadiens | 44c | 60,984$26,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,832.97 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Canadiens | 46c | 56,545$25,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,922.99 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 72c | 55,406$39,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,597.08 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Canadiens | 45c | 55,200$24,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,840 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 44c | 50,825$22,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,616.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Senators | 51c | 35,192$17,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,243.96 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Canadiens | 45c | 33,000$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Senators | 52c | 32,095$16,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,521.2 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 19,515$9,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,394.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 18,478$6,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,697.33 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Canadiens | 44c | 15,555$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,844.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Canadiens | 39c | 14,198$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.75 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Canadiens | 45c | 13,827$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,265.58 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Senators | 51c | 13,024$6,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,381.9 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 45c | 11,347$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 48c | 11,110$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.8 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 45c | 10,867$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.09 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 55c | 10,077$5,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,544.06 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Canadiens | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 9,844$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.12 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 43c | 9,519$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.85 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Canadiens | 45c | 8,888$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.6 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Canadiens | 45c | 8,395$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Canadiens | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Canadiens | 28c | 5,930$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.13 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…2ad4backed Canadiens | 49c | 5,310$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…cddfbacked Senators | 51c | 5,300$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Canadiens | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Senators | 52c | 4,802$2,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.96 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 51c | 4,547$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.03 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Canadiens | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.96 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 47c | 3,576$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.72 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Canadiens | 48c | 3,397$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…709fbacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,075$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canadiens | 49c | 3,062$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.38 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…52c1backed Senators | 52c | 3,061$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Canadiens | 49c | 3,029$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.42 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Canadiens | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Senators | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…702fbacked Canadiens | 48c | 2,697$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Senators | 52c | 2,653$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Canadiens | 45c | 2,200$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,172$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.71 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 2,055$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.82 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…1e93backed Senators | 51c | 2,015$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…4c20backed Canadiens | 49c | 2,001$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…1ee2backed Canadiens | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,000$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.96 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 66c | 1,887$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.78 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…3b5dbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,868$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.72 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,841$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.47 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,822$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canadiens | 37c | 1,639$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.76 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…92e2backed Senators | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…d619backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…e5f8backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…8ffdbacked Senators | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Canadiens | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Canadiens | 6c | 1,499$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Senators | 74c | 1,470$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.12 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,461$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…1581backed Senators | 51c | 1,455$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…11f6backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…4a13backed Canadiens | 49c | 1,430$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 71c | 1,294$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,282$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.42 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,268$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.4 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,194$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.13 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canadiens | 8c | 1,160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,137$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.17 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,108$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.17 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Senators | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Canadiens | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Senators | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked Canadiens | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Senators | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Canadiens | 30c | 994.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 29c | 828.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce8…2554backed Canadiens | 54c | 805.91$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Canadiens | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…967bbacked Senators | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Canadiens | 45c | 777$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Canadiensthis page
- Senators vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Senators vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.