NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafccb5f7fcb1deb404b5bec6996502dddb435f82983981698c2e0ea68b8c3da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Nuggets, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $659,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 31c | 47,077$14,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,384.6 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 59c | 31,359$18,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,759.46 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Bucks | 48c | 28,555$13,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,763.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 28,520$16,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,541.46 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bucks | 56c | 12,377$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,477.38 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Nuggets | 2c | 11,242$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Nuggets | 43c | 9,881$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.08 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Nuggets | 54c | 7,495$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 15c | 6,569$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.37 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 41c | 6,172$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.58 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Nuggets | 60c | 6,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.91 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Nuggets | 16c | 5,920$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.12 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Nuggets | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 37c | 4,714$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Bucks | 56c | 4,383$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.1 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Nuggets | 22c | 4,160$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Bucks | 68c | 3,413$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Nuggets | 35c | 3,278$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.86 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…8e60backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,233$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Bucks | 41c | 3,205$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.95 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nuggets | 1c | 3,140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 60c | 3,000$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.38 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 1c | 2,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 68c | 2,641$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Bucks | 40c | 2,438$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.03 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 44c | 2,436$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.25 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nuggets | 2c | 2,350$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 55c | 2,109$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.44 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…68edbacked Bucks | 39c | 2,100$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Nuggets | 59c | 2,100$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,013$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.48 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks | 39c | 1,794$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.26 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 58c | 1,763$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.72 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Bucks | 35c | 1,430$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.63 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…a222backed Nuggets | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…d826backed Bucks | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 41c | 1,213$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.67 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Bucks | 74c | 1,191$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.01 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bucks | 42c | 1,155$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.13 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…79aebacked Bucks | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Nuggets | 60c | 1,113$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,064$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 1,036$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.16 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 40c | 1,008$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Bucks | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa9…c573backed Bucks | 41c | 963.41$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc486…ab6fbacked Nuggets | 60c | 963.33$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 59c | 953.04$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.66 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Nuggets | 25c | 948.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.31 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets | 13c | 923.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Nuggets | 59c | 849.66$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 40c | 793.19$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.91 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee2…d37dbacked Bucks | 61c | 754$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 3c | 739.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 42c | 705$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.49 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Nuggets | 58c | 693.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Nuggets | 59c | 675.76$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.7 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Nuggets | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf761…dc39backed Nuggets | 60c | 666.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…036ebacked Bucks | 41c | 665.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nuggets | 37c | 656.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 58c | 653.96$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.27 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Nuggets | 63c | 639.73$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Bucks | 40c | 637.92$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.75 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d5…fc86backed Nuggets | 61c | 629.51$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Bucks | 35c | 628.57$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.57 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…041bbacked Bucks | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Bucks | 43c | 585.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 51c | 560$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.8 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…be92backed Nuggets | 37c | 538.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 57c | 535.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.35 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 51c | 532.18$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…245dbacked Bucks | 39c | 529.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Bucks | 55c | 508.36$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.45 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Bucks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Bucks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Nuggets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Nuggets | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Bucks | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Nuggets | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…09b7backed Nuggets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32bd…5765backed Bucks | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d8b3backed Nuggets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…2f6dbacked Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…abd6backed Bucks | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…e25ebacked Nuggets | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…98b7backed Nuggets | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…2627backed Nuggets | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…245cbacked Bucks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…0b88backed Nuggets | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…f7ebbacked Bucks | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.