TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Oilers, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,186,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,186,125 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,799 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Blues44c316,322$139,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,140.4519848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc97e…ea6fbacked Oilers0c298,070$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Oilers56c222,807$125,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,490.1251550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blues42c176,982$74,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,170.1767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oilers56c171,993$96,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,318.671,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues39c115,517$45,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,028.8448545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Oilers58c107,140$62,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,141.210938.5%42 W · 67 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Blues44c90,808$39,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,852.310840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Oilers55c62,722$34,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,343.4541850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues43c53,457$22,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,666.911,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Oilers66c46,224$30,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,445.9340351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Blues43c40,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,899.9214650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Oilers57c32,905$18,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,839.9940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Oilers58c22,438$12,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,940.464252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Blues42c21,613$9,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,581.9527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Blues44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers57c16,915$9,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,700.7361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers56c15,054$8,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,481.0347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Oilers58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Oilers58c14,000$8,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,112.1919051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Oilers58c12,500$7,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,250850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Blues43c11,628$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,627.9132151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Blues76c11,106$8,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.5711950.4%60 W · 59 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers56c10,977$6,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,197.231,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oilers1c10,519$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8326657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Blues44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,600955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Blues42c9,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,219.9726058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Oilers56c7,777$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.127949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers57c7,750$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,413.911,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Oilers58c7,411$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,298.128447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oilers69c7,251$5,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.321,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers57c6,666$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.6275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36018641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Oilers56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3608845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues42c5,884$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.581,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b11…0918backed Oilers57c5,825$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5849…4807backed Blues43c5,700$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d83…302ebacked Oilers57c5,680$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,237.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oilers56c4,901$2,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.642,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Oilers56c4,500$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5358650%43 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues42c4,217$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.7995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Blues21c4,213$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.3812838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8cc…686dbacked Oilers58c4,013$2,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Blues42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blues42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9630552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oilers57c3,733$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.8191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers71c3,583$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.0485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers14c3,577$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.412,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Oilers56c3,528$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.1917353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Oilers58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Blues8c3,333$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.464912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oilers57c3,238$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.751,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Blues16c3,221$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.1130259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oilers58c3,063$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.3866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Oilers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oilers56c3,000$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Oilers57c2,859$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.5936748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa652…ff5abacked Blues43c2,603$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues39c2,591$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.073,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Blues42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4502045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oilers56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40084953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oilers57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.91,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers57c2,400$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Oilers56c2,386$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.0217057.1%97 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Oilers55c2,364$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc42…eab7backed Oilers58c2,208$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.532152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Oilers57c2,069$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.4245955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Oilers57c2,020$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.313641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Oilers57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…23d1backed Blues42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1601250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf18…37fbbacked Oilers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c4…c5f2backed Oilers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bec…7b33backed Blues42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Oilers58c2,000$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.9833652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe476…b025backed Oilers58c1,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9215…6f7cbacked Blues42c1,995$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cb…4517backed Blues42c1,995$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…c2bebacked Blues42c1,995$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b73…4222backed Oilers58c1,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce19…da46backed Blues42c1,995$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f1…659ebacked Oilers58c1,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc392…fe35backed Oilers58c1,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d2…0e13backed Oilers58c1,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x249b…edebbacked Oilers58c1,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd0…afa2backed Blues42c1,995$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…68adbacked Blues42c1,995$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…224cbacked Blues42c1,990$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa84…be0cbacked Blues42c1,990$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…757ebacked Oilers58c1,990$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7940…a324backed Oilers58c1,990$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9982…d1acbacked Oilers58c1,990$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66c3…1affbacked Blues42c1,990$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+47.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe513…9ed6backed Oilers58c1,985$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.31040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df4…bd7abacked Oilers58c1,985$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf902…c3c6backed Blues42c1,985$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x824c…a7a5backed Blues42c1,985$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.531361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfbb…89fbbacked Blues42c1,985$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe691…7d13backed Blues42c1,985$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.31060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6450…9de0backed Oilers58c1,985$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.