NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1f4e4b08d9f654e7b17b73a763b8604b7a97bb831c66dc3bdb3dc78149d703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,017 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 66c | 1,526$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 36c | 1,433$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.2 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 64c | 1,068$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.67 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 35c | 1,021$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.83 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 640.63$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 35c | 242.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.32 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Over | 64c | 157.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 36c | 125.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 38c | 80.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9336…cd98backed Under | 40c | 66.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 37c | 33.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 63c | 27.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 62c | 20.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f6…9f73backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Oilers vs. BluesBlues won
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.