TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,362 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over53c171,963$91,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,104.2720354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c99,420$46,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,692.639047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over53c94,960$50,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,328.8640351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c43,851$20,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,241.061,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under47c41,849$19,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,179.946147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under47c12,019$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.2510146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under47c7,777$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,121.817949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c7,547$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9640356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under47c7,480$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…14e0backed Under47c5,800$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.328544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Under47c3,957$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.455230.8%16 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Under51c3,937$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ba…1e32backed Under49c3,922$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…0f0fbacked Over52c3,880$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Under47c3,740$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.213147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.1691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.991952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Under47c2,865$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.511553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,603$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.492,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c2,598$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.81,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c2,436$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.342,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c1,909$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.921,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under49c1,419$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.684240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under49c1,370$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.6662346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68968449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under49c1,226$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.213342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c1,108$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.571,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under46c1,100$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5943345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772e…c442backed Under49c1,016$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over51c999.97$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under47c809$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.7726551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under48c490.21$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.3813348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c452.23$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.6466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under49c440.91$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3512653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…81bcbacked Under50c405.3$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf8…6bb4backed Over51c401.35$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21227049.6%134 W · 136 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Over53c301.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15312448.4%60 W · 64 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c290.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1191653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7148552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under47c270$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.186852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c228.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.772,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c224.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under50c223.04$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.521553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2196…da90backed Over51c216.51$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c212.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7621849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under46c210$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.311250%56 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008850%44 W · 44 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67be…8a3bbacked Over52c190.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018746.5%87 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c188.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba3…b346backed Over50c177.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over51c175$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4338849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c171$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.9284953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d4…23cfbacked Over49c158$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…cb3fbacked Over52c157$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ec…6a6cbacked Under49c152$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd3…6e70backed Under72c149.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under54c142.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.143,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under77c141.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3213442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Under47c138.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.36262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c132.08$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7122352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c117.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Under47c113.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.324748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8115944.7%71 W · 88 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9401…38cbbacked Under47c104.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.43240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Under48c102.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.067548%36 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5121651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over53c94.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3219356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda82…f9d5backed Under47c93.38$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed Under47c92.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under47c91.01$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2436648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Under49c88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.882642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under49c80.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.113141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c80.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3428549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c78.76$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7413253%70 W · 62 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b8…dfcabacked Under51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c73.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2421754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae6…c635backed Under51c72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over53c70.68$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4611650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under49c68.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1714347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under51c68.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411258%65 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over54c68.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0712335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over31c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3523450%117 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec08…3b56backed Under46c66.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under47c63.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7621158.8%124 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…5034backed Over54c62.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.