NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x361f0db81be273d7c6e13085abe47808d8f4b0f27e8f4df8a776049d863bfce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $479,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $479,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 756 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Blues | 59c | 186,908$109,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,445.29 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 69c | 49,498$34,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,425.15 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 41c | 41,156$17,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,077.68 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Ducks | 42c | 40,000$16,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,400 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 42c | 31,680$13,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,311.99 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ducks | 41c | 16,859$6,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,946.54 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Blues | 29c | 15,099$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.81 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Blues | 57c | 14,158$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.06 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 43c | 12,428$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,121.72 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Ducks | 70c | 12,411$8,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Blues | 58c | 11,811$6,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.38 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blues | 29c | 11,518$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.61 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Ducks | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Ducks | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blues | 58c | 6,050$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.92 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Ducks | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ducks | 42c | 5,552$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.34 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 42c | 5,387$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.21 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blues | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Ducks | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Ducks | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.07 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Blues | 58c | 4,514$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.3 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Blues | 31c | 4,159$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.36 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blues | 54c | 4,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 42c | 3,999$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.44 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 36c | 3,966$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ducks | 42c | 3,861$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.38 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…bdf3backed Blues | 56c | 3,492$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…2a02backed Ducks | 44c | 3,492$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Ducks | 42c | 3,409$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.22 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Blues | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Blues | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.13 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blues | 57c | 2,937$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.09 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 57c | 2,886$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.35 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…5ec8backed Blues | 56c | 2,884$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…6425backed Ducks | 44c | 2,884$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6c…931ebacked Ducks | 44c | 2,829$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…2f9fbacked Blues | 56c | 2,829$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Blues | 58c | 2,796$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.73 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Ducks | 45c | 2,671$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.8 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ducks | 42c | 2,644$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.88 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849d…aa5ebacked Blues | 56c | 2,613$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…2800backed Ducks | 44c | 2,613$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1753…41e1backed Ducks | 44c | 2,467$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…fd99backed Blues | 56c | 2,467$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…702fbacked Blues | 59c | 2,381$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Ducks | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ducks | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…e77dbacked Ducks | 44c | 2,293$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…d457backed Blues | 56c | 2,293$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…ee64backed Blues | 56c | 2,243$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f87…086ebacked Ducks | 44c | 2,243$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Blues | 48c | 2,206$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.46 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…a0d8backed Blues | 56c | 1,913$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…f775backed Ducks | 44c | 1,913$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…55e6backed Ducks | 44c | 1,910$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…4f01backed Blues | 56c | 1,910$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863d…d3bcbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,903$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e5…aaa1backed Blues | 56c | 1,903$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…2568backed Blues | 56c | 1,897$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…0274backed Ducks | 44c | 1,897$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…3117backed Blues | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d0…7e38backed Ducks | 44c | 1,875$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…4e46backed Blues | 56c | 1,819$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…0fc8backed Ducks | 44c | 1,819$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blues | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…752cbacked Ducks | 44c | 1,698$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311a…f4c7backed Blues | 56c | 1,698$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Ducks | 42c | 1,690$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.48 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,688$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues | 57c | 1,675$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…00c1backed Ducks | 44c | 1,655$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…61c4backed Blues | 56c | 1,655$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 6c | 1,625$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…4399backed Ducks | 44c | 1,608$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…6d33backed Blues | 56c | 1,608$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…6742backed Ducks | 44c | 1,581$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…7932backed Blues | 56c | 1,581$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…90dfbacked Blues | 56c | 1,553$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…23f8backed Ducks | 44c | 1,553$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…e820backed Ducks | 44c | 1,546$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a36…d560backed Blues | 56c | 1,546$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blues | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Blues | 57c | 1,523$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.16 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Ducks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Blues | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…f8f1backed Ducks | 44c | 1,476$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…f658backed Blues | 56c | 1,476$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…a38ebacked Ducks | 44c | 1,411$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…c68ebacked Blues | 56c | 1,411$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f07…8f3cbacked Blues | 56c | 1,408$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…28a2backed Ducks | 44c | 1,408$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…4729backed Blues | 56c | 1,355$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…a838backed Ducks | 44c | 1,355$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…3797backed Ducks | 44c | 1,307$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…4237backed Blues | 56c | 1,307$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Bluesthis page
- Ducks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.