Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x653f4ae14a76ebb57750e4d21f947fceff6847575284397df2d23ea9688f308c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,215,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 51c | 469,290$238,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230,949.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 50c | 183,837$91,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,918.48 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 50c | 115,557$57,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,217.56 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 49c | 99,052$48,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,535.71 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 49c | 59,387$29,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,102.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 55,647$27,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,601.3 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 51c | 49,868$25,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,435.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed No | 49c | 49,615$24,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,311.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 50c | 45,621$22,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,810.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 31,929$15,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,864.52 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 49c | 29,650$14,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,529.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 24,104$5,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 50c | 23,767$11,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,872.48 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 49c | 23,292$11,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,413.08 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 50c | 22,605$11,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,302.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 49c | 20,230$9,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,912.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 50c | 20,083$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 49c | 18,846$9,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,234.62 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 50c | 18,637$9,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,318.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 50c | 16,851$8,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,425.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 50c | 16,058$8,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,029.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 51c | 14,966$7,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.33 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked No | 49c | 14,869$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,285.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 14,046$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,023.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 49c | 13,808$6,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.04 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 50c | 13,478$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,738.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 50c | 11,214$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,606.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 10,869$5,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 31c | 10,228$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.99 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 50c | 10,013$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.55 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 49c | 9,775$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.51 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 50c | 9,617$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 49c | 7,840$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 50c | 6,308$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.16 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 52c | 5,948$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked No | 49c | 5,948$2,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 69c | 5,932$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.74 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 51c | 5,568$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 4,985$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.35 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 49c | 4,900$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,605$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.43 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 50c | 4,562$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.0wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 50c | 3,965$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.5 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…57eabacked Yes | 51c | 3,714$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 49c | 3,656$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.17 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 50c | 3,327$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 50c | 3,168$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 50c | 2,974$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.88 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 51c | 2,915$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 50c | 2,880$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 50c | 2,863$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.7 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 50c | 2,542$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.78 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 2,410$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…6f6fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Yes | 46c | 2,393$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 53c | 2,151$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 50c | 1,983$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 50c | 1,971$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.73 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 48c | 1,899$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 50c | 1,691$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 1,630$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 50c | 1,597$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.69 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 51c | 1,561$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 1,434$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.66 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 1,407$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.28 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 49c | 1,400$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.33 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 1,306$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.59 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 49c | 1,262$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 8c | 1,258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.53 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 48c | 1,169$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.81 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.84 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 50c | 1,135$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.75 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 26c | 1,052$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 49c | 1,011$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 50c | 1,011$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Yes | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed No | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 51c | 971.82$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked No | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed No | 49c | 900$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 3c | 862.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 50c | 845.92$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4701backed No | 6c | 835.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?this page
- Will US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.