Asian League · resolved market
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8041e9e2ad412a2494c392176e7ccf93f4ae1dc68e6f2330229de25e366fca0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 11,226$8,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.65 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 27c | 10,631$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.44 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yes | 13c | 4,305$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.9 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 25c | 3,572$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.95 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,501$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 1,941$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.93 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…953cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,920$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 1,789$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,264$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 1,138$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 1,036$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.19 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 80c | 964.26$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 18c | 579.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 79c | 460.57$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Yes | 17c | 415.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 31c | 398$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Yes | 41c | 322.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…d7babacked Yes | 52c | 281.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff14…dd5bbacked No | 70c | 270.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 246$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked Yes | 26c | 223.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 206.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 194.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 138.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 123$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 11c | 118.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 110.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 78c | 99.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…d621backed Yes | 26c | 81.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 28c | 80.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 15c | 77.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 25c | 74.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…b756backed No | 78c | 67.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 22c | 59.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 25c | 57.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 25c | 53.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 53.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 29c | 46.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked No | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 77c | 27.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 76c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…fe71backed No | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 73c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 74c | 14.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.