TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Henan FC win on 2026-07-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes51c33,219$16,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,902.9117753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c18,923$9,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,969.825,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Yes50c13,123$6,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,516.964663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c12,292$6,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.41,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes56c8,138$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,549.972,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No41c7,022$2,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1253243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes66c6,032$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.827964.9%181 W · 98 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes49c5,849$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.322642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked No50c5,500$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No53c5,482$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.7724247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No35c4,081$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.273447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes64c3,282$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.7619765.5%129 W · 68 L+27.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes64c2,987$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.5421474.3%159 W · 55 L+44.8wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x01e9…03bbbacked No49c2,784$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.111464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No47c2,433$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.065937.3%22 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+164.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes51c2,343$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.198743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes46c2,100$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.584763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes53c1,229$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.96663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No56c1,058$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.482,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No48c1,036$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5319340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes38c973.68$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37014037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes54c951.65$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.983633.3%12 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No53c831.23$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.5518851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed No45c830.96$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No46c697.35$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.771,30656.9%743 W · 563 L+67.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed No45c664.9$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.94242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No50c600$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3035240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes50c584.18$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.3324348.6%118 W · 125 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No52c576.83$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.59743.3%42 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c535.89$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.791,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a31…a9dabacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes62c486.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.919254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No51c461.68$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4830548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd6…77dabacked No45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.441241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6384…3d67backed Yes57c427.05$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No56c421.58$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4848768%331 W · 156 L+69.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes37c395.97$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.519747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes57c393.58$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1113861.6%85 W · 53 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No51c383.3$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8958243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No50c349.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9813654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed No48c339.45$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.96237.1%23 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No53c313.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3125653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c253.23$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2772044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes48c242.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.81,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7d…a8fbbacked No80c234.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.966100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes37c232.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8614047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes57c218.55$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.521,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189d…5d2dbacked No45c218.49$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No59c213.79$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes59c212$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.081,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No63c211.79$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.831,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed No48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.182250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Yes57c200$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510773.8%79 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick74cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No51c191$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.251637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No45c187.18$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9534447.4%163 W · 181 L+1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No56c185$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0536142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes60c185$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c8…a722backed No48c179.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.17560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked No48c166.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.611540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes56c133.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked No45c128.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.292540%10 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No47c123$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6714942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked No47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1345…53cdbacked No58c118.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes16c110.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5756245.4%255 W · 307 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed No46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.426052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes54c109.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.631758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1882…1af4backed Yes51c102.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.04757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c102.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No52c102$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4811952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No51c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.59350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked No66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.523164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9cf…c8b9backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes36c94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6310454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No50c91.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6927251.1%139 W · 133 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes42c88.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1734560%207 W · 138 L+49.3wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No42c84.82$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2887645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No47c84$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2143452.1%226 W · 208 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes57c82.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.984257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…4d19backed Yes61c80.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes63c79.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.644843.8%21 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yes51c76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.862740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No53c75.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7622548%108 W · 117 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes58c75.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.934938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed No52c69.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed No48c66.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked No48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.762050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes48c60.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes53c60.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7716659.6%99 W · 67 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No52c58.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3111861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2022…37d9backed Yes51c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No54c50.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.324448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No49c50.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9126148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes55c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7876255.9%426 W · 336 L+38.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.