Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210b43715f5132313293f66b4d164850a13946e6ced9def3047c0ec47cb0cc29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 51c | 25,998$13,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,739.08 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 49c | 17,424$8,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,518.57 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 53c | 13,793$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,474.41 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Yes | 53c | 10,906$5,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.99 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 47c | 10,671$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052.1 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 49c | 9,144$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480.77 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes | 53c | 6,262$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.73 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 47c | 5,518$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.51 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 52c | 4,025$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 47c | 3,917$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.02 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 57c | 3,612$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.44 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 37c | 3,572$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.75 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 45c | 2,790$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.04 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 56c | 2,697$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.58 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed Yes | 35c | 2,444$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.7 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed No | 44c | 1,953$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 34c | 1,727$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.32 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 45c | 1,629$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.05 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…0a71backed Yes | 55c | 1,623$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Yes | 58c | 1,509$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.98 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 50c | 1,504$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.78 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 59c | 1,232$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…5e02backed Yes | 62c | 1,219$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 75c | 1,016$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 42c | 1,011$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.09 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 44c | 993.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 11c | 960$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 49c | 924.89$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.78 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 50c | 903.15$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.22 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…de52backed No | 47c | 886.38$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 38c | 870.47$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 47c | 845.62$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 50c | 800.17$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 61c | 746.85$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.77 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 58c | 739.66$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…1294backed No | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 62c | 612.59$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 40c | 600.12$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.44 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 597.5$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 556.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 49c | 555.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.93 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 48c | 532.48$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…ac41backed No | 60c | 524.12$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 57c | 496.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 38c | 474$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Yes | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9da…6746backed No | 44c | 449.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 24c | 443$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 46c | 425.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…efe0backed Yes | 41c | 400$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 62c | 399.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…ed8bbacked Yes | 52c | 379.42$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 50c | 378.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 59c | 376.81$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 372.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.39 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 363.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 43c | 354.19$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.66 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 36c | 353.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a46…52eabacked No | 48c | 349.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 59c | 340.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 30c | 328.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed No | 47c | 317.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 306.82$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 47c | 304.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.79 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 52c | 304.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.27 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 30c | 300.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…75b4backed Yes | 54c | 299.94$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 57c | 263.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 262.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…d005backed Yes | 40c | 252.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…81cabacked No | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 226.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 61c | 214.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked No | 30c | 213.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…2197backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 192.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 52c | 191.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 40c | 188.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 185$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…4091backed Yes | 54c | 183.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 37c | 179.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 56c | 166.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…e33ebacked Yes | 33c | 165.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…d621backed Yes | 55c | 164.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 160.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…db49backed Yes | 54c | 157.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 45c | 156$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…f52fbacked No | 49c | 150.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…8a07backed Yes | 33c | 149.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 145.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 136.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…e06fbacked Yes | 44c | 136.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 39c | 135.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 45c | 132.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.