Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8cdec850fc402ee76b356a83c11c84b3296e9f38d24a4d4aab299d705ee5bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,843
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,843 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 37c | 3,269$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.71 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 2,669$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.45 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 66c | 2,642$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.81 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 31c | 2,337$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 65c | 2,150$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.05 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 70c | 1,908$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.32 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 35c | 1,670$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.36 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 35c | 1,630$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.85 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 70c | 1,575$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.72 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 31c | 1,270$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.59 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 29c | 1,261$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.22 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked No | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.31 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,199$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 65c | 1,044$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 39c | 847.71$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.31 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 723.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 33c | 573$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 37c | 554.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 540.89$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 66c | 516$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 41c | 441.31$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 34c | 380.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 38c | 359.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 322.62$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 40c | 317.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 34c | 312.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…cecabacked Yes | 35c | 289.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 280.21$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 31c | 276.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…c09abacked Yes | 58c | 260.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…0666backed Yes | 39c | 257.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 252.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 55c | 249$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9248…6955backed No | 65c | 243.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 242.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 285 | 47.7%136 W · 149 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 226.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 216.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 185$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 37c | 180.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 32c | 172$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 32c | 172$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 165.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 63c | 160.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 223 | 43.9%98 W · 125 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…e33ebacked Yes | 40c | 139$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 65c | 136.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 36c | 132.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 10c | 129.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 64c | 125.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 115.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 110.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 110.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 63c | 106.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed Yes | 38c | 100.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 27c | 100.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…cdf8backed Yes | 39c | 97.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9726backed No | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…51f8backed No | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4f…72bebacked Yes | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…9781backed No | 78c | 90.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 66c | 87.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 84.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f5…4576backed Yes | 36c | 82.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…d6f4backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…4c26backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 66c | 76.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 66c | 76.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed No | 62c | 72.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 72.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 30c | 69.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 36c | 68.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes | 34c | 67.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 32c | 65.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…3e28backed Yes | 39c | 64.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 70c | 60.12$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 33c | 58.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 34c | 54.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 33c | 52.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…3243backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 50.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 66c | 50.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.