Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41eb1016ae8f53467621c52c0223d602f6043de85b637dda770a82c0df4a895a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 22c | 5,885$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.55 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…a5eebacked Yes | 23c | 4,758$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.25 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 3,912$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.99 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 26c | 2,943$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.34 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 22c | 1,484$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.48 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 25c | 1,409$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.79 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,396$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.27 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…cd56backed Yes | 22c | 1,382$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,358$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 20c | 1,094$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,003$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 23c | 999$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes | 23c | 961.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.21 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 904.13$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 891.86$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.18 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 77c | 887.7$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 20c | 816.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 705$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 80c | 602.24$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 597.5$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 26c | 566.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…cecabacked Yes | 18c | 546.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 79c | 531.67$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…e33ebacked Yes | 17c | 524.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 511.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked Yes | 12c | 473$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 16c | 427.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 23c | 415.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 376.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 22c | 372.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 342.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 342.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…2ee7backed Yes | 16c | 328$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 78c | 322.59$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…4659backed Yes | 6c | 314.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Yes | 20c | 309.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…077cbacked Yes | 16c | 308.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 306.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 75c | 301.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 33c | 273$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…50f5backed Yes | 17c | 263.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…e626backed Yes | 28c | 242.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…c050backed Yes | 30c | 231.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 74c | 228.14$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…25ffbacked Yes | 23c | 222.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 206.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…30a9backed Yes | 26c | 200.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 77c | 191.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ff…cdf8backed Yes | 15c | 185.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 173.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b07…b403backed Yes | 15c | 170.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 167.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…402bbacked Yes | 26c | 163.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 145.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 75c | 131.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 125.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…89dabacked Yes | 25c | 118.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6ae5backed Yes | 28c | 107.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 104.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…4dfebacked Yes | 18c | 102.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 99.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…f935backed No | 75c | 85.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 75c | 80.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 74c | 76.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 72.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 72.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 25c | 69.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 78c | 65.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…e403backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 75c | 57.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…7b02backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 74c | 49.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 46.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…945ebacked Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 75c | 39.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 72c | 36.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3767…5e7cbacked Yes | 35c | 32.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 75c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 75c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 76c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
- Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.