Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda2386dbc3f5c6ae7ecebc6c9c01ee682a83ea61f0cc57f5d64fed6e872bd275
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $855,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $752,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 9c | 42,373$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.3 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 17c | 24,100$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…1a88backed Yes | 16c | 23,240$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 9c | 22,144$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.91 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 9c | 16,169$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.53 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 12,054$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,925$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68b…f6eebacked Yes | 12c | 10,577$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 10c | 10,050$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.97 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d9…5490backed Yes | 17c | 8,271$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.35 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 29c | 7,026$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.53 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…89c4backed Yes | 8c | 6,490$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 3c | 6,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…bdf8backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 4c | 5,759$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 14c | 5,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,924$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…c792backed Yes | 2c | 4,610$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…22e5backed Yes | 16c | 4,380$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…32b3backed Yes | 2c | 4,316$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 3c | 4,287$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.79 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e0…124abacked Yes | 2c | 4,193$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 24c | 4,161$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.17 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 7c | 3,942$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.66 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,905$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x303e…c54abacked Yes | 7c | 3,781$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 3,618$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 10c | 3,587$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.97 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…cbdabacked Yes | 8c | 3,162$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 21c | 3,122$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.42 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 13c | 3,071$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.25 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 2c | 2,805$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 80c | 2,501$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.01 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…4668backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +192.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed Yes | 18c | 2,439$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 2,391$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…9b82backed Yes | 10c | 2,386$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 6c | 2,350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…a838backed Yes | 1c | 2,313$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…06c2backed Yes | 1c | 2,313$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…f880backed Yes | 1c | 2,305$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6293…7c4cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,305$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ed…805bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,222$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 10c | 2,205$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.96 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…bb4dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,179$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…6c07backed Yes | 2c | 2,179$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…fb79backed Yes | 2c | 2,158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…0406backed Yes | 2c | 2,158$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…2a89backed Yes | 2c | 2,137$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…30fbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,084$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…4a03backed Yes | 22c | 2,002$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f29…0a8cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…9823backed Yes | 9c | 1,860$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 1c | 1,719$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,650$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked Yes | 14c | 1,636$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Yes | 1c | 1,625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 146 | 9.6%14 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 7c | 1,600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…d8fcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,571$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…a4f3backed Yes | 15c | 1,512$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…7715backed Yes | 2c | 1,410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bc…f6f3backed Yes | 17c | 1,403$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 1,382$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 8c | 1,338$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 281 | 26.3%74 W · 207 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed Yes | 21c | 1,329$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8a…5c56backed Yes | 2c | 1,277$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 15c | 1,276$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2188…7a8dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 9c | 1,232$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9138…0690backed Yes | 8c | 1,226$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…3bbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,177$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,138$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…01a4backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 79c | 1,127$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.02 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 12c | 1,091$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 1,089$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…c160backed Yes | 2c | 1,072$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6d…58f4backed Yes | 2c | 1,072$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…22dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,072$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…2743backed Yes | 2c | 1,062$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…b33ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.