TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,110 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes42c6,770$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,936.958457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c6,177$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.635,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes51c5,538$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c3,300$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.958814.8%13 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes47c1,963$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.7914037.1%52 W · 88 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked No54c921.24$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-61.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes73c839.7$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.961,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No51c632.03$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.1662349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No51c589.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No49c545.54$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7184347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes45c508.49$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Yes48c466.17$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.171833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffb…9801backed Yes79c433.69$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes48c417.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.944845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Yes48c412.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.419950.5%50 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes59c319.57$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.572653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes70c319.32$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.943666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed No49c277.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c249.14$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.861,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No53c243.14$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.91,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed Yes42c237.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+74.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c231.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0853148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No39c228.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4449044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…ffa0backed Yes48c211.83$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a5…c3bbbacked Yes48c209.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes41c201.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10226749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No43c188.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.912634.1%43 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c167.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.832,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No17c150.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5526…b553backed Yes46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…82fabacked No53c145$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe032…410ebacked Yes47c140.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No52c124.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.717245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No18c121.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.95944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick16cpaid+200%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.385446.3%25 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No22c95.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7546422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No53c85.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3719436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes45c77.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.024141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Yes61c73.32$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.891070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+441.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes42c73.05$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.371618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c71.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6882053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No17c70.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2742625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No36c64.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3814153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No56c64.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.952748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ba…4693backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe930…919cbacked No56c58.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Yes51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.824759.6%28 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed No57c56.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.852157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes49c53.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4210436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fd…4533backed No29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…9dd9backed No59c50.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab8…d621backed No54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Yes46c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbfb…ba4cbacked Yes42c49.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e9…910bbacked Yes46c48.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No54c47.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8512551.2%64 W · 61 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes48c45.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes46c45.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.653441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d3e…2e20backed Yes55c42.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes74c41.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Yes54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.656445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d57…f3fabacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf16…25a5backed Yes47c36.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0b…f954backed Yes71c32.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No45c32.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6330750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9b…8b7dbacked No53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7910041%41 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No55c27.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310361.2%63 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf320…bd1cbacked Yes78c26.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640a…14fabacked No55c24.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874a…4e6cbacked Yes47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed Yes50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No68c21.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4518952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcff1…f8debacked Yes72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10f…5d7dbacked Yes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0c…5f28backed Yes78c19.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.