Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d6081eb88cbfffae87b6f367987558864372e4863e97deb71828ba9c016bc02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 56c | 63,010$35,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,726.55 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 16,030$9,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 44c | 15,925$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,006.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 1c | 12,090$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 11,905$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.65 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 42c | 11,826$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.81 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 44c | 11,347$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked No | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 41c | 9,150$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.75 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 8,400$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 40c | 8,154$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 43c | 4,506$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.76 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 12c | 3,149$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…fb99backed No | 1c | 2,962$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 2,854$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.42 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 60c | 2,290$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 2,208$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.64 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 41c | 1,974$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.35 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 60c | 1,595$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,274$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,251$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 41c | 1,217$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked No | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 41c | 974.2$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.12 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1290backed No | 43c | 970$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…f4acbacked No | 43c | 950$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…ad5ebacked Yes | 58c | 950$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184d…694ebacked Yes | 58c | 920$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 3c | 910.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…9813backed Yes | 60c | 910$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…362dbacked No | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…cccabacked No | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…b4febacked Yes | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6a…da9ebacked Yes | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…2748backed No | 41c | 900$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…3af0backed Yes | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1519…8916backed Yes | 60c | 890$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…3fd2backed No | 41c | 880$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…af78backed No | 41c | 860$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…3ed9backed Yes | 59c | 860$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…9ec0backed No | 43c | 850$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…e69bbacked Yes | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2948…feadbacked No | 43c | 850$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7476…2043backed No | 41c | 840$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde21…4058backed Yes | 60c | 820$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b5…5dd9backed Yes | 58c | 810$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…dcbfbacked No | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…3e28backed Yes | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81a…4f81backed Yes | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7fb5backed No | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…6f79backed No | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 781.94$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 40c | 769$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.41 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…a3d5backed No | 43c | 760$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e80…1c9bbacked Yes | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 44c | 686$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 42c | 645.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.62 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 59c | 609.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 59c | 566.37$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 57c | 559.63$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 41c | 501$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 60c | 493.03$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.21 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 23c | 492$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.78 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 56c | 416.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.67 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 2c | 416.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 59c | 412.77$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0904…47e4backed No | 47c | 355.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 41c | 350.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…d2d8backed No | 44c | 349.06$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…627fbacked No | 44c | 348.17$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d52…60b7backed No | 44c | 343.77$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…1374backed Yes | 54c | 343.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…f194backed No | 44c | 343.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…2afebacked No | 44c | 341.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…6167backed Yes | 57c | 341.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…6510backed No | 44c | 339.73$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6220…e30fbacked No | 44c | 336.56$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…6c89backed Yes | 57c | 335.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…c6aebacked Yes | 57c | 335.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…ea00backed Yes | 57c | 335.03$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…ef9ebacked Yes | 57c | 334.71$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7281…4268backed Yes | 57c | 329.45$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.