TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,248 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d30…ce29backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes23c8,087$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8601723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No77c6,192$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.161338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c4,149$3,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.3196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb4…1023backed No77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes23c2,043$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c1,722$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.1668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes17c1,338$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6716838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c35…2965backed No54c1,077$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+62.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No78c1,025$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9411964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c1,001$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.092,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Yes12c852.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c800.14$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0526040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No52c607.24$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e5…f012backed Yes25c603.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c589.04$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes34c492.31$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1691435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No76c483.19$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.953638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc3b…08d3backed Yes24c446.19$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468e…2141backed Yes25c435.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes24c420.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.83828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No77c415.32$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.522540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3319…8527backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+80.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes18c396.05$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.611667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes15c393.8$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.311225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes6c389.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.28837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b5f…16fbbacked Yes24c370.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9d…0f3cbacked Yes24c352.68$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes23c332.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.594845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No50c319.68$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.844742.6%20 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes24c304$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.963426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c14…c5fdbacked Yes24c298.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes6c290.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.633237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes18c286.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes7c280.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.699937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c271.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes52c256.63$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes23c228.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.59616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes23c226.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.085028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes24c220$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes18c220$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.61421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid+41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes10c202$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9919652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c190.86$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa52…cf2dbacked No76c184.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e7d…b41bbacked No77c181.25$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7287…6d9abacked No77c175.26$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes20c169.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.143650%18 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes24c167.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.614936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes45c149.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.949850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30b2…53d5backed No77c145.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+81.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6434…fce6backed No77c130.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…765bbacked No76c126.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.44100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+120.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a9a…73f5backed Yes51c125.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes12c125.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-87.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9885…c43ebacked No77c125.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb404…9de2backed No76c124.45$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x363b…958fbacked No77c122.08$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes59c118.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ff6…2dd5backed No77c105.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+126.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d4…a3a9backed No77c100.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes24c100.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902f…86abbacked No77c100.01$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96a8…e998backed No77c98.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c96.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1342347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecc…7caabacked No77c93.85$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c90.45$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7141854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…5edabacked No77c89.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes24c86.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.878525.9%22 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No78c85.47$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.814845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes40c84.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.865236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes23c84.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3418951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes24c83.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.151050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes24c83.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9360…b9c7backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes22c79.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.248752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes24c79.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa081…b4fbbacked Yes21c72.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes24c64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.361330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b7…de43backed Yes23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes24c58.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes26c56.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.