Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc4f152c2bbc310fc656af116a7308f7d2c18e079bd37dc3a7633a62dcdf866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,035 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 14c | 8,008$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.97 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,936$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Yes | 11c | 4,364$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…ef32backed Yes | 4c | 2,650$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 14c | 2,404$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.32 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 14c | 2,107$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…516dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,787$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…ac78backed Yes | 4c | 1,481$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…ea25backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 3c | 947.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 11c | 929.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 915.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes | 14c | 823.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 13c | 769.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…9c5fbacked Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 15c | 667.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 10c | 666.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 18c | 556.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 10c | 505.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 6c | 360.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 14c | 357.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Yes | 11c | 320.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 11c | 310$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…6535backed Yes | 15c | 305.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 15c | 302.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 14c | 293.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 292$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 6c | 271.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 11c | 242.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 16c | 220$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 14c | 201.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 10c | 200.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…b751backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 16c | 188.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 16c | 165.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 17c | 134.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e8…1feebacked Yes | 14c | 129.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 15c | 129$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 11c | 124.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…46adbacked Yes | 12c | 123.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 16c | 121$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Yes | 12c | 105.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…fb99backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…360fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 14c | 85.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c41…117bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…b9c7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 18c | 55.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?No won
- Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.