Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79529394c2fe035c500da92887aa57603d4b54f18f5d99120d3f6ade2dcc968d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 5,655$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.12 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 3,400$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 71c | 3,146$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,023$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 2,075$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.16 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 71c | 2,014$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 1,632$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 38c | 963.4$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 54c | 931.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 42c | 555.88$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.73 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 29c | 545.65$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.41 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 29c | 541.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.64 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 490.06$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.13 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 33c | 449.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 436.23$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 59c | 420.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Under | 51c | 395.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 71c | 359.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 40c | 337.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…eb2abacked Over | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed Over | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 55c | 256.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 29c | 254.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 42c | 209.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 25c | 196.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 52c | 188.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 59c | 168.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 43c | 156.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 12c | 135.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 47c | 108.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 40c | 96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 43c | 89.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 82.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 81.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 16c | 80.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 32c | 80.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 61c | 76.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 71.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Over | 61c | 69.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -71%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Over | 39c | 50.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 46.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 44.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 31c | 37.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 45c | 35.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 62c | 31.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…daabbacked Under | 40c | 31.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…e18ebacked Under | 41c | 29.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked Over | 72c | 28.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…b976backed Over | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 62c | 25.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 62c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 49c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…b2e2backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.