TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under40c5,655$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.1232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over60c3,400$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over71c3,146$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2342646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c3,023$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c2,075$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.1641144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over71c2,014$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over18c1,632$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.561,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over38c963.4$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3675939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over54c931.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over65c769.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under42c555.88$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.734158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under29c545.65$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.4140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under29c541.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…78f3backed Over71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c490.06$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.1391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over33c449.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c436.23$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9c…c6debacked Over59c420.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.385642.9%24 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28441954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Under51c395.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over71c359.15$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over40c337.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13516032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.92832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x357b…eb2abacked Over50c299.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed Over41c299.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6940%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.996036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over55c256.36$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under29c254.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3736456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c209.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14219042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over25c196.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over52c188.85$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under40c180$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10814651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over59c168.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.543441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under43c156.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over12c135.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over47c108.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3421748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over56c98.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under40c96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0811547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over43c89.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under40c82.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c81.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Over16c80.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under32c80.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4213653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over61c76.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.757025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c71.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa06…1e0fbacked Over61c69.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over31c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.356552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over63c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over71c57.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411020%2 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-71%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed Over39c50.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356050%30 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under29c49.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7415354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e047backed Over40c47.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1990%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over54c46.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over45c44.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over31c37.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.59440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under45c35.38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc93…b91dbacked Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under62c31.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.127365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.252263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae19…daabbacked Under40c31.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over64c30.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceaa…e18ebacked Under41c29.1$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked Over72c28.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick73cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7214351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x426d…b976backed Over47c27.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over62c25.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5614159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.752850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e8…d7b7backed Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over62c23.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8114442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under49c22.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.744156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over72c20.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5f…b2e2backed Over64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over70c14.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.