Fifa International · resolved market
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe29c51623d5611900b2ef84c5ff5c827fb32d9f687c53c1c8b28e11c6debcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 43c | 2,758$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.02 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 23c | 2,731$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.9 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 2,472$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 19c | 684.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 34c | 580.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 60c | 520.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 471.98$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Under | 75c | 421$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 372.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 44c | 338.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 329.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 62c | 324.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 78c | 320.85$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 21c | 289.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 22c | 254.16$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 78c | 253.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 252.19$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 60c | 242.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…6e5ebacked Under | 78c | 229.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 177.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d40…4e09backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 77c | 148.24$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 21c | 142.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Under | 78c | 127.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 60c | 123.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 71c | 108.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 71c | 108.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 71c | 108.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 71c | 108.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 58c | 103.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 48c | 100.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 79c | 88.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 87.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 78.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 25c | 73.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 71.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…6f83backed Over | 29c | 63.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…e929backed Under | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Over | 58c | 54.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…9cd9backed Under | 80c | 40.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Under | 45c | 36.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…eaadbacked Under | 59c | 35.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb321…6781backed Under | 79c | 32.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Under | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 59c | 19.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0b…94d1backed Under | 79c | 18.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Over | 58c | 18.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)Vietnam won
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.