Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2509d14e4f2d4eee43df1143a10966d83276a110e8af75fb7c6e48f1a6e05031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vietnamof Vietnam, Bangladesh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,893 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Bangladesh | 55c | 422$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Bangladesh | 22c | 229$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Vietnam | 46c | 198.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Bangladesh | 55c | 176.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Vietnam | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Vietnam | 52c | 127.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vietnam | 70c | 103.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Vietnam | 45c | 100.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Vietnam | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Vietnam | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Vietnam | 44c | 90.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Bangladesh | 55c | 72.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Bangladesh | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Bangladesh | 65c | 62.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Vietnam | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Vietnam | 43c | 52.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed Bangladesh | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Vietnam | 78c | 48.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vietnam | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6d2bbacked Bangladesh | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Bangladesh | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bangladesh | 53c | 31.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Vietnam | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Vietnam | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.