Fifa International · resolved market
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7207c990393619135c5a214d0e4810f6aa2f8f1f4ba681ce84823c8a3907af51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 33c | 1,028$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 747.24$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 29c | 731.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 598.81$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.74 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 70c | 466.45$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 67c | 457.14$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 68c | 454.41$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 404.69$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 295.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked No | 75c | 277.44$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 71c | 249.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…cf3abacked No | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +166.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 32c | 210.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes | 36c | 206.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 69c | 201.45$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 198.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 34c | 172$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 76c | 143.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 136.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 20c | 104.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 74c | 74.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 29c | 73.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 67.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 18c | 67.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 27c | 62.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…a033backed Yes | 31c | 61.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 73c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed No | 76c | 54.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 75c | 53.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 73c | 47.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yes | 34c | 42.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked No | 70c | 41.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 34.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Yes | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 77c | 32.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 72c | 31.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed No | 73c | 28.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…6a27backed No | 73c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked No | 79c | 18.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)Vietnam won
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.