Fifa International · resolved market
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcab23d99b27eae37993525206cd215afaf2c388d1a252117cbd963d8ef8daa48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,884 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab3…02f8backed Over | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 2,843$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 35c | 2,027$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 1,370$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.05 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 35c | 1,211$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Under | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 613$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 531.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 34c | 440.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 409.3$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 35c | 399.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 347.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Over | 63c | 247.58$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.6 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 9c | 229.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 38c | 228.66$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 35c | 211.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 65c | 199$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Over | 62c | 167.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 161.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 35c | 151.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Over | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 32c | 136.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…cc8cbacked Over | 66c | 130.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 121.27$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 62c | 108$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Over | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 95.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 92.42$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 36c | 85.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 84.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 66c | 76.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 35c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Over | 64c | 45.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…8aa3backed Under | 35c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under | 41c | 42.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…b82ebacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 38c | 35.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec5…6093backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)Vietnam won
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.