Fifa International · resolved market
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48a0ea860c388300229b84cca46e5ea9eec0cbc7e3e3e72e57ec7ad2a8059a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,506 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 14c | 1,186$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.89 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 7c | 933.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 8c | 710.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Under | 20c | 506.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 17c | 425.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 16c | 304.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 15c | 277.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 80c | 230$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…4bb0backed Under | 18c | 207.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 155.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 10c | 132.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 16c | 83.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…bd81backed Under | 16c | 76.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…bd9bbacked Under | 20c | 73.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 80c | 47.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)Vietnam won
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.