Fifa International · resolved market
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b98ebfc9530519d88bfc2185247c74cc0d08994c2bdf69b87961aef5293ad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,783 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 13c | 2,226$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.15 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 13c | 1,796$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.43 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,619$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.73 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Over | 42c | 1,330$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…cb64backed Under | 58c | 1,230$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 1,060$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.43 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 25c | 1,019$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.46 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 77c | 1,007$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.37 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 56c | 906.1$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Under | 37c | 758.62$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +159.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edc…b1e8backed Over | 43c | 633.11$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 38c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 44c | 485.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…a7c1backed Over | 68c | 414.71$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 13c | 392.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.82 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 391.75$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 72c | 382.15$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 14c | 356$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 44c | 346.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 67c | 327.45$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 319.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 55c | 263.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.67 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 40c | 260.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 15c | 248.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 15c | 233.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 50c | 213.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 180.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 43c | 156.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Under | 15c | 155.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Over | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 138.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 133.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 57c | 125.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac14…415abacked Under | 22c | 125.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 107.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 15c | 100.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Over | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 56c | 88.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Under | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 77c | 70.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 50c | 67.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 21c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…b9f9backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 56c | 59.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 57.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…2000backed Over | 58c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 58c | 51.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 42c | 49.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…adb8backed Under | 21c | 47.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0412backed Over | 48c | 46.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Under | 62c | 41.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…51c8backed Under | 58c | 32.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…ff05backed Over | 45c | 30.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 79c | 29.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…1fb5backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…bb3abacked Under | 57c | 25.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed Under | 60c | 25.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1c0abacked Over | 44c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 75c | 23.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)Vietnam won
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.