Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e921cfef750eaed65fd30f9b77e3bc0a943cd0967b3cd0a8377e570cbcd225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vietnamof Vietnam, Bangladesh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bangladesh | 32c | 2,647$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.33 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed Vietnam | 69c | 1,526$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bangladesh | 31c | 870$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Vietnam | 69c | 764.64$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…9d08backed Vietnam | 69c | 723.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Bangladesh | 31c | 479.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Vietnam | 69c | 433$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bangladesh | 30c | 294.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Vietnam | 70c | 287.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Bangladesh | 32c | 286$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bangladesh | 32c | 283.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Bangladesh | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Bangladesh | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Vietnam | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Bangladesh | 32c | 127.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vietnam | 68c | 126.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Bangladesh | 31c | 120.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Vietnam | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked Vietnam | 67c | 77.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Vietnam | 69c | 70.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Vietnam | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Vietnam | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Vietnam | 69c | 55.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Vietnam | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vietnam | 63c | 46.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bangladesh | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…b2d4backed Vietnam | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…9797backed Bangladesh | 35c | 37.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bangladesh | 31c | 36.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vietnam (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Vietnam (-2.5)Vietnam won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5Over won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.