MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb07f75bbb9d8757dccf20b294d964dac7b593a4737de6c483cb2fa4df7d8b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof New York Mets, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $846,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $889,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $846,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 139,631$54,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,174.77 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets | 61c | 89,461$54,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,571.41 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed New York Mets | 61c | 83,882$51,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,168.19 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 55,024$25,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,388.44 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 42,868$33,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,787.89 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 41,127$20,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,084.59 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Mets | 52c | 33,380$17,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,191.22 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 33,033$12,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,109.79 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Mets | 61c | 25,392$15,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,488.88 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 23,086$9,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,175.69 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New York Mets | 51c | 19,332$9,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,783.46 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 15,112$8,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 14,485$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,835.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 44c | 11,842$5,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,170.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed New York Mets | 40c | 11,012$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.24 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked New York Mets | 60c | 11,004$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.41 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 52c | 10,775$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,587.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked New York Mets | 43c | 10,113$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.69 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked New York Mets | 56c | 9,808$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.01 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked New York Mets | 61c | 9,766$5,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.26 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed New York Mets | 62c | 8,499$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,293.94 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 7,856$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 7,627$5,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.53 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Mets | 28c | 7,511$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.36 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 7,346$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.41 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 6,883$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.42 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…d41cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 6,584$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.85 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked New York Mets | 49c | 5,867$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 5,539$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed New York Mets | 48c | 5,527$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.49 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 50c | 5,515$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 5,247$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.94 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed New York Mets | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Mets | 38c | 4,889$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.01 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed New York Mets | 54c | 4,678$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.25 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 48c | 4,536$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 4,269$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.64 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 4,154$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.28 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,078$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked New York Mets | 4c | 4,064$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.28 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed New York Mets | 45c | 4,017$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.93 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Mets | 52c | 3,974$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.41 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked New York Mets | 4c | 3,800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,784$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.23 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked New York Mets | 44c | 3,565$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.23 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.13 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,317$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked New York Mets | 3c | 3,113$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,050$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed New York Mets | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.16 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,890$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked New York Mets | 4c | 2,855$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,817$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed New York Mets | 42c | 2,494$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.23 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,470$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.86 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Mets | 43c | 2,470$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.35 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Mets | 59c | 2,449$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.34 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,446$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.6 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed New York Mets | 23c | 2,305$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,144$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,069$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.12 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,062$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.08 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed New York Mets | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked New York Mets | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed New York Mets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,949$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.53 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked New York Mets | 46c | 1,930$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.99 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…f66bbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,913$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…db0bbacked New York Mets | 2c | 1,900$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,841$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.66 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,800$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,719$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.29 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,698$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,695$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked New York Mets | 58c | 1,680$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.82 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed New York Mets | 31c | 1,606$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.31 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets | 57c | 1,597$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed New York Mets | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Mets | 61c | 1,441$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.94 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,438$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.13 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,396$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.43 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,353$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.68 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Mets | 38c | 1,268$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.04 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 52c | 1,218$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.19 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,217$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.47 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…0db0backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,205$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked New York Mets | 58c | 1,198$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.68 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed New York Mets | 58c | 1,179$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.22 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 61c | 1,174$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,161$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.74 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,120$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed New York Mets | 47c | 1,092$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.15 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,064$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.1 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked New York Mets | 59c | 1,047$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.47 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed New York Mets | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed New York Mets | 41c | 991.32$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.62 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 964$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.4 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis CardinalsYes won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)New York Mets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.