TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Menorca: Miguel Damas vs Daniel Rincon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniel Rinconof Miguel Damas, Daniel Rincon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Miguel Damas4c16,430$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6580938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Daniel Rincon59c3,317$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.252,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miguel Damas33c2,508$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Miguel Damas49c2,470$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.3357645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Daniel Rincon73c2,011$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.382,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Miguel Damas28c1,945$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.482,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Daniel Rincon60c1,772$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.147,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Damas11c1,496$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.68,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miguel Damas41c1,390$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Rincon71c942.09$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.666,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Daniel Rincon54c723.27$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.0530056.7%170 W · 130 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Miguel Damas49c532.54$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.953,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Miguel Damas40c516.21$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2930847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa06…1e0fbacked Miguel Damas7c510.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.953125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Miguel Damas36c479.58$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0312831.3%40 W · 88 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…a08abacked Miguel Damas4c459.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.381361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miguel Damas17c398.12$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.278,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Daniel Rincon75c394$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.537071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Miguel Damas50c370.42$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.191,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Miguel Damas33c368.26$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.834,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Daniel Rincon49c356.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.067,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Miguel Damas30c302.18$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.114,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Miguel Damas37c301.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5559253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Miguel Damas35c292.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1227231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Miguel Damas37c286.59$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9961752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Daniel Rincon51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.881,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Damas32c274.95$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.096,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Miguel Damas50c246.26$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.285042%21 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Daniel Rincon74c239.45$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.261090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Rincon48c238.63$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.052,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Miguel Damas26c225.04$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2962534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Daniel Rincon49c212.47$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.42,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Daniel Rincon46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5933149.2%163 W · 168 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x885e…fc94backed Miguel Damas28c209.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Miguel Damas42c202.33$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1711327.4%31 W · 82 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Daniel Rincon50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Miguel Damas50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Daniel Rincon66c187.2$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5123758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Daniel Rincon66c177.78$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2250364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Miguel Damas52c166.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.532,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Rincon50c163.38$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Miguel Damas50c155.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.650458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Miguel Damas45c147.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.389,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Daniel Rincon61c144.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.317656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Miguel Damas33c141.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1495846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Miguel Damas29c133.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.094042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141d…7ea0backed Miguel Damas32c126.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.881136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Miguel Damas35c123.78$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Miguel Damas35c101.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9941658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7fe…f111backed Miguel Damas43c101.48$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.46963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Daniel Rincon77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Daniel Rincon49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.457349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Daniel Rincon49c98.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9510860.2%65 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Daniel Rincon58c92.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.452454.2%13 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick36cpaid+38.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Miguel Damas33c87.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7827147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Miguel Damas35c86.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.737153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Daniel Rincon51c76.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9757052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Miguel Damas40c74.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6348453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd044…0abdbacked Daniel Rincon51c70.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.721241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Miguel Damas27c68.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6724…9592backed Miguel Damas40c63.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.684156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd76…3269backed Daniel Rincon70c58.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.682369.6%16 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Daniel Rincon56c58.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5445051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Daniel Rincon51c57.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1538754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Miguel Damas19c55.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4732843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Miguel Damas39c46.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Miguel Damas41c44.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Daniel Rincon44c44.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.034650%23 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e33…1e5fbacked Miguel Damas44c43.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50fa…f3bebacked Miguel Damas35c41.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6150%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Miguel Damas50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Miguel Damas50c39.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6824249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Miguel Damas49c38.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.147453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Rincon51c38.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.037,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Daniel Rincon51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.652,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Miguel Damas43c37.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1897046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Daniel Rincon61c36.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2370148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Miguel Damas48c35.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Daniel Rincon49c35.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.297856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4869…3f70backed Daniel Rincon35c34.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.341952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Rincon53c32.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.127,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb847…566dbacked Daniel Rincon61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.497361.6%45 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Daniel Rincon62c30.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5128348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Miguel Damas36c30.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9239955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Daniel Rincon50c30.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4233661.3%206 W · 130 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x405b…e12bbacked Daniel Rincon48c29.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.471553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miguel Damas34c29.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926c…5d40backed Daniel Rincon77c28.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.666566.2%43 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Daniel Rincon62c26.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.131,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Daniel Rincon63c26.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7625265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab8…6eaabacked Daniel Rincon49c24.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.366137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Daniel Rincon49c23.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8774955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Daniel Rincon50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…c17dbacked Daniel Rincon62c16.68$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Daniel Rincon79c12.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.726244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.