Us Midterms · resolved market
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0becaf7db4f27b95bcdd5f01c39b44086a8762d8a937e7835576ebfe2e7f981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 69c | 32,450$22,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,186.6 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 23,982$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 7,000$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.76 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 45c | 6,259$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.64 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 5,721$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.37 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 17c | 5,440$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.88 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 13c | 4,173$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 3,615$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.84 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,416$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.86 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…e38fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,854$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 20c | 2,693$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.01 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5338…86afbacked Yes | 21c | 1,675$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…4f84backed No | 72c | 1,452$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 27c | 1,420$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 1,382$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.62 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 26c | 1,120$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 29c | 1,047$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 38c | 1,009$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.16 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked No | 79c | 1,000$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 938$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 13c | 934.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 74c | 820$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked No | 70c | 806$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 662$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.87 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 33c | 656$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 68c | 638$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 29c | 611$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 67c | 605$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked Yes | 16c | 598.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 11c | 592.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 71c | 582$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 32c | 527$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 20c | 514.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed Yes | 47c | 500.31$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 30c | 495$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 71c | 491$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 70c | 461$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 32c | 455$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed No | 71c | 452$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 68c | 422$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 18c | 420$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 27c | 418.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 30c | 403$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 18c | 398.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 76c | 393.31$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed Yes | 31c | 374$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked No | 69c | 374$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked No | 71c | 369$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 43c | 353.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes | 30c | 341$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 21c | 318.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 80c | 317$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 70c | 309$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed No | 78c | 300$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 47c | 300$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 30c | 298$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 18c | 280$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 30c | 279$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 10c | 272.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed No | 67c | 271$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 33c | 271$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 263.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2434…05eabacked Yes | 46c | 260$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 70c | 254$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 70c | 251$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 30c | 249$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 15c | 241.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 79c | 240.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…82eebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 234.66$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed No | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 71c | 226$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 222.97$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 70c | 218$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 217.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 26c | 217$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 30c | 215$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 213.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 28c | 201.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 194.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…06efbacked Yes | 27c | 187.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 186.4$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 17c | 186.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed Yes | 32c | 167$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 19c | 160.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 7c | 159.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 156.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 248 | 31%77 W · 171 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 63c | 156$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 24c | 153.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…dc15backed Yes | 49c | 149.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed Yes | 16c | 147.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 80c | 146$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 145$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?this page
- Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?No won
- Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.