Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a62aca5f8b6e0e22a030ac92d37ecebc60627b64928a68422714c9fcc3d0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Virtus.pro, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba9a…d705backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 30,224$9,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 26,938$18,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,889.66 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 5,604$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,939$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.09 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 3,853$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.22 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 3,490$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.5 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 3,084$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.53 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,981$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.56 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,987$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.75 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 1,188$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,010$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 842.2$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.83 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 614.73$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 585.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.18 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 572.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 517.29$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 499.35$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 470.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.26 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 451.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 419.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 401.25$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 398.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 398.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 379.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 353.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 341.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 328.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 325.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.59 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 310.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 291.17$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 289.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 285.36$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 229.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 224.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 222.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 207.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 202.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Virtus.pro | 7c | 202.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 199.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 179.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 175.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 140.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 138.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 137.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 136.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 132.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 128.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 127.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 127.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 119.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 114.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 108.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 102.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 100.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 99.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 98.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 97.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 95.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 90.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 82.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 75.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 74.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 68.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 67.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 66.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 64.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 62.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…7bcbbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 58.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…cf83backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 55.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…2412backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 55.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…73f6backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 54.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…9c0ebacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 53.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 53.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…7a04backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 52.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…3dd3backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 45.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 45.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 44.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 43.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 41.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 39.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 38.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 38.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 38.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 34.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 34.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.