Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87580c19f2b7cd2ccc62c7cc0a9e274b04aed3c11c6c697575be61e16ffa37cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Virtus.pro, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 6,319$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.24 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 5,154$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.59 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 3,556$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.37 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 2,978$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.5 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 2,715$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.03 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,661$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.15 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 2,361$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.1 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,325$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.5 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,162$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Virtus.pro | 7c | 1,892$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,682$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.17 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,474$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.29 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 1,468$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.55 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,440$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.85 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Virtus.pro | 4c | 1,333$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,217$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.48 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,197$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.34 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,139$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.6 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 999.96$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.72 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 998.86$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.41 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 986.87$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.38 | 459 | 40.5%186 W · 273 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 982.09$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.81 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 890.95$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.94 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 853.15$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 794.31$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.98 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 749.31$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.54 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 702.69$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.48 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…5d5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 639.67$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 633.05$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.5 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 606.4$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 552.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 547.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.09 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Virtus.pro | 68c | 540.46$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 499.05$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 485.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 485.69$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…ef63backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…8ce4backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 467.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…cbf0backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 463.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 460$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 458.92$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 440.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 428.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.28 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 418.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 406.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 386.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 604 | 60.6%366 W · 238 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 348.22$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 326.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 479 | 53.9%258 W · 221 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 315.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 314.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 265.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 245.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 244.4$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 243.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 239.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 204.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Virtus.pro | 17c | 201.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 535 | 33.8%181 W · 354 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 201.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 196.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 190.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab27…0c65backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 177.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 164.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 163.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 161.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 152.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 140.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 136.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…665fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 135.21$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 131.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 131.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 130.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…a0d5backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 123.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 120.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 111.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 110.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 107.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Virtus.pro | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 99.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 97.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 96.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 90.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 89.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 88.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 85.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 84.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.