Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x046e86494733d16927bc10f6c4afd6b9a89a898b9fd09542389131dcc4a969df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Virtus.pro, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 22,149$12,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,974.05 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 20,407$9,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,010.91 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 7,459$5,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.73 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 5,320$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 4,916$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.43 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,970$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 2,917$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.57 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,601$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.82 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,512$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.71 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 2,490$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.27 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,214$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.09 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 2,152$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.93 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,954$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.21 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,786$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.96 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,701$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.61 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,560$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,488$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,451$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.23 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,132$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.64 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,094$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 1,091$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.2 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,008$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 986.13$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.27 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 977.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 782.57$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.9 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 749.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 685.56$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 676.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.57 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…5d5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 613.51$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 501.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.17 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 462.68$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.14 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 448.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 444.62$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.54 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 374.33$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.38 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 340.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.79 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 311.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 288.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 259.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 259.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 253.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 249.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 248.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 227.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 210.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 199.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 194.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 187.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 180.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 180.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…379dbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 179.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 175.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 159.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 147.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 142.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 128.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 125.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 120.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 120.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 100.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 98.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 98.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 91.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 89.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 89.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…665fbacked Virtus.pro | 66c | 89.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 87.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 86.46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 85.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 80.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 80.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 79.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 79.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 77.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 75.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 62.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 59.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 56.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 55.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…b4c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 51.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 46.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 43.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 43.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.