South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51354bae748c8f5fedba103a83ee490b22392564332d6a18f44f36099ba338c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 6,112$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.42 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 75c | 1,621$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 979.5$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 733.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed No | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 488.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.52 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes | 76c | 431.87$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 49c | 393.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 51c | 391.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 339.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 318.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 52c | 310.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.15 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Yes | 75c | 275.05$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…cca8backed Yes | 53c | 268.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 251.17$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed No | 26c | 245.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 231.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 229.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.51 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 55c | 218.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 51c | 216.62$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked No | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 204.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 10c | 176.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 75c | 155.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 40c | 153.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 151.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 56c | 119.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 35c | 102.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 35c | 101.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 60c | 86.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 50c | 80.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 80.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 49c | 77.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked No | 49c | 74.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 49c | 74.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 49c | 74.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 75c | 73.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Yes | 72c | 61.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 51c | 60.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Yes | 76c | 57.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 43c | 56.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Yes | 72c | 49.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 33c | 48.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 49c | 46.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Yes | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 52c | 40.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 49c | 40.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 37.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…65a1backed Yes | 53c | 36.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 30c | 34.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 46c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Yes | 53c | 30.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Yes | 53c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 72c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 54c | 23.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 75c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 76c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 76c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-04-01?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-04-01?No won
- Will EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.