La Liga · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33017f992f82c7c9b9501ab5d08b13fe3957e1bfc53dcb4718c89f697415cca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RC Celta de Vigoof RC Celta de Vigo, Elche CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elche CF | 48c | 4,537$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.64 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 4,235$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.8 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed RC Celta de Vigo | 75c | 3,748$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elche CF | 24c | 1,344$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.59 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Elche CF | 68c | 633.25$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.61 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 545.28$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.79 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Elche CF | 68c | 544.49$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.25 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Elche CF | 68c | 533.37$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.69 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Elche CF | 54c | 449$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Elche CF | 69c | 385.4$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.23 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Elche CF | 70c | 240$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 162.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Elche CF | 69c | 158.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Elche CF | 32c | 156.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Elche CF | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 128$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Elche CF | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Elche CF | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 98.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed RC Celta de Vigo | 66c | 93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Elche CF | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elche CF | 68c | 81.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed Elche CF | 69c | 80.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed RC Celta de Vigo | 67c | 72.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed RC Celta de Vigo | 70c | 70.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 41c | 60.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Elche CF | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RC Celta de Vigo | 72c | 52.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elche CF | 35c | 47.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed RC Celta de Vigo | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed RC Celta de Vigo | 30c | 42.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…b16fbacked Elche CF | 69c | 42.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elche CF | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…8139backed Elche CF | 30c | 40.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Elche CF | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed RC Celta de Vigo | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Elche CF | 50c | 24.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Elche CF | 69c | 22.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Elche CF | 69c | 20.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Elche CF | 68c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.