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La Liga · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,360

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over57c106,472$60,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,266.9410450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c37,532$16,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,819.244,85647%2,282 W · 2,574 L-17.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe807…307cbacked Under45c16,098$7,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,244.120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over55c14,966$8,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,734.897656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over52c14,937$7,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,175.261,67443.9%735 W · 939 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under45c14,161$6,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,327.9313645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c8,916$4,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.2592443%397 W · 527 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c8,098$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.953,57142.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L+26.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under43c8,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,44012053.3%64 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c7,327$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1226858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under45c6,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5809457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over56c3,989$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7552962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.220553.2%109 W · 96 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over55c3,117$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.6114250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29010958.7%64 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,892$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.052,39448.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under43c2,766$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.562060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c2,511$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.0374350.2%373 W · 370 L+18.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under43c2,266$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.516746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under43c2,235$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8653249.4%263 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c2,187$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.281,29351.5%666 W · 627 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8607759.7%46 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9572455.8%404 W · 320 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Over57c1,754$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9215150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under45c1,555$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7514647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6756645.5%30 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.576550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under43c1,300$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55913357.9%77 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under43c1,300$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55910658.5%62 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under43c1,250$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.6432945.6%150 W · 179 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over77c1,250$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4312853.1%68 W · 60 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over55c1,180$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.863253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under44c1,111$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.637653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43011566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x50e3…78f3backed Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4309056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over43c970.52$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.564732.3%209 W · 438 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under43c943.42$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.4335442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over56c909.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.418749.7%93 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38711859.3%70 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c876.98$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.163558%368 W · 267 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410154.5%55 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449359.1%55 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3449556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Under30c700$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21212119%23 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under48c670$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over57c666.67$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.678041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under47c631.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over54c630.03$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.58351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under43c584$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.126159%36 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over77c555.94$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4519762.4%123 W · 74 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Over50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c530.89$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7693345.3%423 W · 510 L-30.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over46c517.26$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over68c513$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5519258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21513662.5%85 W · 51 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21512566.4%83 W · 42 L+13.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159960.6%60 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under36c486.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17415446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c481.51$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.689139.8%355 W · 536 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over61c473.93$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.097950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under45c470.89$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8335759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over43c465.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.473938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under43c460$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.813362.4%83 W · 50 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c441.86$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under44c433.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8230759%181 W · 126 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under45c432.68$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under43c425.37$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.919164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under48c419.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under44c404.74$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.097560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1729159.3%54 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under43c390.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.14753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under43c385.63$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.822839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under53c378.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under8c375.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.682934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.83053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Under44c334.86$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under45c317.05$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.672433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over55c301.4$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6319358.5%113 W · 80 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295850%29 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12910059%59 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1298955.1%49 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1298457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c299.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.547749.7%237 W · 240 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.734146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208956.2%50 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c265.23$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2322357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over56c240.95$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.027960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under35c240.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2516348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under43c235.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.281,65851.7%858 W · 800 L-6.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under45c233.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0533161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0b…fbafbacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006931.9%22 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under45c231.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3821050%105 W · 105 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.