La Liga · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b4b0f9116e41688c730c6ea7ab641a55b15d2b96b4c7b6c1c2d84a21ea0373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 22,053$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.67 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 76c | 16,734$12,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.39 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,991$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.12 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 24c | 1,480$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…78f3backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 80c | 950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 19c | 743$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.95 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 17c | 739.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 20c | 456.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 80c | 325$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 20c | 121.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 23c | 77.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 65.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…0fd1backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 18c | 59.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 21c | 53.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…874fbacked Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked Over | 80c | 32.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 79c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 78c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.