TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No72c8,875$6,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.154,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes32c7,636$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.595337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No68c6,804$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.414938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c5,646$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.343,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c2,457$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c2,092$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.951,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes34c1,633$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5555248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c1,336$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.361,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes26c1,156$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes30c1,103$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.283327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes4c932.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+140.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c908.81$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes32c847.54$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c820$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c621.63$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No67c540.72$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.442,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2638…97bebacked Yes30c505.61$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c435.13$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0975751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes33c391.3$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9470050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No68c387.88$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4335442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c373.26$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0765356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked No68c350$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1122850%14 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.335166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No50c267$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.546040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e1…ee29backed No63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.15100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes28c235$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.84235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes32c214.65$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No73c213.31$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.183046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No70c209.9$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9745949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No77c192.44$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes29c177.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7923843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c169.49$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes50c164.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9220241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c153.28$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No71c149.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.363470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No72c136.49$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.587950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No70c130.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.274845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes29c130$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.73218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No70c128.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6822448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No69c121.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2718158.6%106 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No50c121$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.521439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes51c120.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8210556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcd0…b52fbacked Yes27c117.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes28c114.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.453333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes27c110.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes20c109.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8712823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes30c108.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338932.6%29 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x101d…c861backed Yes28c107.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked No68c101$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.321442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Yes25c100.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2962744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed No71c99.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.982536%9 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked No51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.033740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes31c98.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302015%3 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed No77c97.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes50c94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4716348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No55c92.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3422653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes18c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f5…4807backed Yes14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No68c79.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes30c78.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.314665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No50c76.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.257052.9%37 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc575…1002backed Yes32c75.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes24c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7514643.2%63 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No73c73.64$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No61c71.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.973158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No71c71.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.789946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No62c70.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1662258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…5898backed Yes22c69.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee92…7ec3backed Yes35c67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.36560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No66c65.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.123935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a7f…0492backed Yes24c63.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2396…6829backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No68c59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8819646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed No57c58.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.112853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No71c57.94$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.89553.7%51 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes31c56.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed No73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792560%15 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a6…a17ebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Yes30c50.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1720451.5%105 W · 99 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.