TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$361,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$354,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No41c79,850$32,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,508.3212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No74c22,780$16,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,885.4513744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes58c15,707$9,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,596.9282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes60c15,438$9,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,178.353,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No76c15,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,400.016468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes64c14,500$9,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267.362343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c12,270$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,646.824,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No79c9,644$7,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,658.611060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes58c7,206$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.191,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes31c5,203$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.268343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No40c5,042$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No43c4,606$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes60c4,348$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.4960732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c4,114$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.411,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…b4dabacked No62c3,448$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes68c3,168$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.1860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c2,939$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.762,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No31c2,731$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.877950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No27c2,678$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.118956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c2,616$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.2783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes57c2,611$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.8122553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No25c2,590$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.322753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes21c2,553$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.4735442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes60c2,195$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.520043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed No79c2,143$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38a1…ad5ebacked No28c2,081$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.851533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes61c2,078$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.3421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Yes52c1,901$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.774936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes65c1,846$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.157553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No48c1,738$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.697554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6153327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes25c1,400$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c1,352$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes21c1,351$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.7722448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c1,345$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.7348251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xced3…10d1backed Yes31c1,300$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes57c1,300$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5591136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fb…a074backed Yes21c1,286$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No79c1,243$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.3419662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No77c1,111$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.475141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes35c1,102$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.3461557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76013419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes22c875.39$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.1319840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes23c869.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.5714549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No29c837.85$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.986937.7%26 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes21c813$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.279956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes52c798.08$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3915150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes69c724.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.647750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes60c716.51$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.65442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No30c715.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.799164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No31c706.36$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.122446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes64c704.16$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1558548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c576.55$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.071,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Yes20c544.3$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.441952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed No39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes20c503.23$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.3269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No24c492.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes46c458.39$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.026934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed No35c450.47$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.661540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…8902backed Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.762433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed No45c439.65$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked No51c423.96$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.882441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No30c423.49$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9635759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes60c403.1$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0921950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes24c400.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.551741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No43c400.47$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.24753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c399.99$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes49c390$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.16953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No36c389$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3210230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked No40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed No8c369.01$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.323450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes54c346.11$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6133734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes21c340$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.63938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked No78c339.96$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No9c337.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes58c326.82$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2619953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes45c320.54$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8616348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes58c311.17$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6910556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No78c305.23$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.082429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed No38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d8…073dbacked No38c299.97$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes67c283.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0463553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No10c280$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf516…4c5abacked Yes59c276.27$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes21c273.81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.312839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fa…da37backed Yes77c261.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae79…9161backed No41c260.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed No40c260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked No79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed No20c235$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.461442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7c…6d35backed No40c225$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes21c222.2$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2445250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked No5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No33c204.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.359641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7940033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked No33c199.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c197.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No36c184.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.489441.5%39 W · 55 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.