TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed No62c60,574$37,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,039.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c17,367$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.4611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes28c8,764$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.4246644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes37c7,500$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes39c6,716$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.13156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c6,043$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.0247850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed No63c4,730$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes0c4,380$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.14277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes38c3,895$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+566.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c3,635$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.7143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No61c3,444$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.871844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes27c2,917$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.562025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes38c2,753$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes38c2,439$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes35c2,397$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.19431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes39c2,343$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes37c2,105$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Yes18c1,961$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes34c1,724$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.648139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc6…f773backed Yes41c1,611$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No50c1,502$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.144553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c1,374$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Yes39c1,334$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c1,257$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8614955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes39c1,229$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.246946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c999.39$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.1410837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No61c959.75$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.37549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c908.28$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.4810757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes38c901.67$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.775255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes38c901.67$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.775754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes32c868.1$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes23c868.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes39c855$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4b…fddebacked Yes35c850.11$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed Yes52c769$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes36c736.84$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8930055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df9…037cbacked Yes7c717.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c714.83$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9411940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes38c708.21$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.982748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Yes38c666.05$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes33c657.7$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.041560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes40c647.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked No61c599.97$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c570.94$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes32c563.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.657254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes38c562.14$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.765154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes38c562.14$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.764355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes38c541.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.772070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c517.34$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3111752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes42c511.26$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0211063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes38c509.55$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.631827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes34c501.58$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes34c488.24$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed No62c481.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes16c476.38$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.223938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes34c473.26$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Yes31c445.63$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes27c431.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No47c422.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No69c419.36$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Yes38c413.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes28c409.33$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.476823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes18c373.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4914047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes33c370$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.14355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes55c367.26$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2523551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c366.2$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6513551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes38c363.06$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.967048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes16c350.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8324732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes36c346.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes38c344.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes51c343$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8510633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes6c337.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes31c323.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.824843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacc1…3ce0backed Yes38c311$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes36c299.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.997536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Yes38c298.8$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes38c297.8$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.163253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes38c295.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.193154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes38c295.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.183850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes31c291.1$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.498353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes38c263.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes31c259.12$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes32c258.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.828853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes16c254.94$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.79425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes30c253.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes38c250.19$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.071136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes6c243.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Yes27c237.7$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.071855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…5732backed Yes38c236.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes14c233.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.941136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes38c229.7$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c226$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2232453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes56c214.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.423354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+56.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895c…d405backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.