TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Over63c13,519$8,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.936939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under37c10,334$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.5813053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over63c2,235$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.1547748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over63c1,783$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under38c1,753$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.8778344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under38c1,730$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.253,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over63c1,569$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under36c1,407$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under35c1,201$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.893528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under80c1,186$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over79c999.82$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over46c993.75$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.921,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c858.81$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c795.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over51c602.07$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over54c516.26$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.641010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-81.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c481.35$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.351838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over64c469.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.345942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Under4c333.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c318$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7724046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Under10c308.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8110045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under37c299$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.639848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under42c296$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.76955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over64c272.25$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0113844.9%62 W · 76 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over56c267.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8819172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under69c191$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c180.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7231158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over44c173.65$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7328721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Over51c168.18$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.41825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c164.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4282044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Over64c157.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3510250%51 W · 51 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under35c149.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2424859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Under32c143.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.471827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked Over15c142.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.42per pick21cpaid+204.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under37c139.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.271850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under77c137.34$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2930957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under35c136.22$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.295250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under34c129$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8610255.9%57 W · 45 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under35c128.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5912254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under35c128.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5314151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under36c126.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.122263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over64c124$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.281050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under36c123.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.269452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c112.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3797146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c111.75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5158043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over23c106.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.068241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Over13c104.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.69540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+185.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over67c100.75$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.758739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.342259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under56c96$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.917955.7%44 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under37c89.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.342947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under36c80.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.852638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over69c79.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.774959.2%29 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under35c71.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3519052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec9…b76bbacked Under35c69.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under24c66.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.792254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over29c66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.884447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c62.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.529250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under36c61.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4719255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under37c51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.871435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Over29c48.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.791225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over68c46.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9915458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under37c44.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.652646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under38c37.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0719645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over65c35.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.461758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Under38c31.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c56…cbe8backed Over66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.110754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea77…686ebacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991090%9 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick72cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c27.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3b…cff2backed Under44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over66c24.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.251275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7244350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad81…3ffebacked Over62c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Over64c23.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over65c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.842445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Under48c21.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.551464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e5…ba5fbacked Under77c16.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick67cpaid-63.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8693…ebd0backed Over69c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over65c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.