Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d04014c5e90bad4ea85163dcb337202df5521ec36d00aad087106f5dab0299b

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over	54c	5,360$2,894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,465.5	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	46c	3,509$1,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.03	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	52c	1,809$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.06	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	65c	1,540$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.9	144	63.9%92 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	34c	882.32$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.33	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed Under	6c	814.25$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.28	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under	55c	714.55$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	42c	524.44$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.13	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	59c	509.01$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.01	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under	10c	495.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+163.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over	41c	489.99$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.09	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over	60c	482.47$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.89	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	58c	466.86$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.5	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	45c	444.44$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.44	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	50c	402.88$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.38	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under	59c	391.53$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over	41c	374.83$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.15	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	41c	350.62$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.86	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over	45c	334.47$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.47	157	72%113 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	70cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	46c	301.09$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.88	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	46c	301.09$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.88	167	57.5%96 W · 71 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	58c	300$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	46c	297.68$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.55	275	52.7%145 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	46c	292.82$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	46c	292.82$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	46c	292.82$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	300	57%171 W · 129 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under	46c	292.82$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	106	55.7%59 W · 47 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under	46c	292.82$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.9	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	43c	255.69$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.27	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under	46c	220.13$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.64	110	55.5%61 W · 49 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over	46c	217.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.39	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	47c	214.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	108	61.1%66 W · 42 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over	38c	213.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.68	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	52c	194.15$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.96	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Under	59c	176.31$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.02	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over	42c	148$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.84	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under	58c	148$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.84	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	57c	121$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.56	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under	60c	111$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	82	57.3%47 W · 35 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under	47c	110.92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.64	68	66.2%45 W · 23 L	+9.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under	47c	110.92$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.64	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	272	27.9%76 W · 196 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Under	59c	98.31$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e8…b2f0backed Over	41c	90.66$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d53…2735backed Over	68c	88.24$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	69cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	40c	80$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over	50c	76$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.7	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	56c	73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	63c	67.57$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	357	43.1%154 W · 203 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	59c	61.24$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Over	61c	56.98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.98	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+25%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	44c	56.82$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	41c	56.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under	47c	56.57$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	48c	51.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	111	64%71 W · 40 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	61c	48.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5959…4c4cbacked Over	46c	48.22$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.04	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Over	36c	48.03$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.74	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over	42c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	63cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	43c	38$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	43c	36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	43c	36$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over	54c	32.72$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.92	157	38.9%61 W · 96 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	65c	32.31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Over	42c	31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.98	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	54cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over	48c	28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.56	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under	47c	24.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	206	51.9%107 W · 99 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under	49c	24.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	70c	21.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC won
Spread: Oxford United FC (-2.5)Portsmouth FC won
Spread: Portsmouth FC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Portsmouth FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event