Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e9421960b027c31df90a98ebdcecf7156b1b70a0797d27f22e503e763b9eb50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,061,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,117,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,061,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked No | 46c | 535,420$247,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247,293.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…e993backed Yes | 54c | 465,514$250,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215,085.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Yes | 54c | 79,652$43,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,639.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,500 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 53c | 45,741$24,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,498.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 49c | 39,200$19,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,213.93 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 47c | 29,961$14,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,207.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 26c | 27,000$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.95 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 51c | 24,065$12,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,873.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 50c | 21,811$10,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,905.74 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 20,890$11,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,231.59 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 76c | 19,148$14,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 18,920$13,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 50c | 11,566$5,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,745.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 74c | 10,735$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.73 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 47c | 9,500$4,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464.95 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…702abacked Yes | 50c | 7,756$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,878.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 7,411$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.43 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…b7f0backed No | 50c | 7,221$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 48c | 6,465$3,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 6,416$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.77 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 51c | 5,734$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 67c | 4,639$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.7 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked No | 46c | 4,354$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 63c | 3,886$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.12 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 63c | 3,882$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.67 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 50c | 3,880$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 63c | 3,873$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.2 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 50c | 3,870$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked No | 24c | 3,810$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 70c | 3,223$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.27 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 46c | 3,148$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.94 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 56c | 3,115$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.1 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 27c | 2,862$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 45c | 2,850$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…bca4backed Yes | 53c | 2,396$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 55c | 2,211$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.24 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…814cbacked Yes | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Yes | 50c | 1,518$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 15c | 1,510$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 24c | 1,449$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.35 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 55c | 1,415$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…a066backed Yes | 52c | 1,382$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 53c | 1,365$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.02 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 26c | 1,291$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked No | 8c | 1,154$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 55c | 1,109$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 48c | 1,063$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 79c | 993.4$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 51c | 970.84$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 50c | 970.27$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Yes | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 52c | 926.52$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.79 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 52c | 907.18$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.65 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 49c | 791.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…81c2backed Yes | 75c | 788.59$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Yes | 55c | 788.13$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 76c | 759.19$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 50c | 694.42$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed No | 29c | 679.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a9…c9a5backed No | 50c | 651.82$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…6129backed Yes | 76c | 614.77$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 602.94$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.31 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 75c | 600.33$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 51c | 594.39$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 53c | 588.58$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 52c | 559.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 551.71$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.69 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Yes | 52c | 523.14$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 11c | 522.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked No | 7c | 493.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes | 52c | 493.53$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 76c | 492.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked No | 9c | 451.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 52c | 447.41$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 52c | 395.39$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 68c | 387.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed No | 27c | 382.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed No | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 76c | 376.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 48c | 376$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 15c | 370.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 364.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 50c | 355.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 50c | 351.35$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 28c | 312.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 75c | 304.48$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?this page
- Will AEK win on 2026-04-09?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.