TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AEK win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes20c23,668$4,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,635.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes17c11,396$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94444952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes11c7,605$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.342,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes19c4,387$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.69922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes9c3,437$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.58137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-83.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes18c2,305$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes7c2,077$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.411225%3 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-72.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205724.6%14 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes24c1,988$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.22740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes18c1,842$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.512,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c1,754$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.756119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes20c1,666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No80c1,443$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.6579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes7c1,290$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4860%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes18c1,039$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2057…af78backed Yes10c942.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes8c852.19$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.656219.4%12 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04a7…445bbacked No78c719.68$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes7c708.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.22548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes8c637.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked No78c580.3$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.673381.8%27 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes22c563.17$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.91136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…a136backed No79c557.84$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…9080backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No76c499.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes2c498.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes21c457.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.023522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes22c448$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5670%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed No78c379.54$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea7…03fabacked Yes20c315.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes7c313.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.974537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c3e…491abacked Yes18c312.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4218444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes7c292.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.482030%6 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Yes16c291.41$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5850%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Yes12c284.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.232347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes16c266$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2312633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes18c244.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9812545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No78c230.91$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.82487.5%21 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c37…f2ffbacked No78c218.87$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No77c206$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.391,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes18c203.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5855545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes21c198.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.615032%16 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…6dd2backed Yes15c187.89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes8c185.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.177435.1%26 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Yes18c178.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes28c171.77$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.849638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4756…d776backed Yes24c166.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes17c163.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.272,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes16c145.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.793129%9 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No78c144.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.044965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No77c140.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes22c139.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6860%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No79c133.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes22c133.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.365034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Yes18c132.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.773729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes23c130.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.032821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes23c130.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f7…6354backed Yes21c113.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes11c108.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes18c105.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.023243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba28…fa8fbacked Yes18c105.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes21c94.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9537926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…3714backed Yes22c87.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x840a…600cbacked Yes20c84.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…bd6dbacked Yes23c83.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No78c82.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.082552%13 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Yes18c79.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes16c71.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18733.3%29 W · 58 L-12.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes18c66.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.985850%29 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No78c62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.641,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes22c61.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes19c59.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257156.3%40 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Yes18c58.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked No78c50.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes23c49.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.451618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfad0…63dfbacked Yes23c49.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes22c48.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes23c46.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.642055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Yes23c44.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked No78c39.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No77c39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9711562.6%72 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed No78c31.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No79c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…cdc1backed No78c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No78c16.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.713256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No76c14.58$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.55366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.