Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ef8676885377766b8ea288a00180db636e318bf79cecc1e2fb71158e20c347
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 46c | 14,107$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,532.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 13,840$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 13,799$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 76c | 13,322$10,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.64 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 11,533$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,714.68 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 9,823$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.18 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 74c | 8,834$6,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.66 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 76c | 7,820$5,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.6 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 46c | 4,278$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 74c | 3,848$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 26c | 3,465$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.94 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…aad0backed Over | 66c | 3,023$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.99 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 2,878$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.52 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Under | 29c | 2,700$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.91 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 2,510$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.1 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 76c | 2,371$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.11 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 49c | 1,932$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 46c | 1,843$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 29c | 1,719$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.03 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 76c | 1,537$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 27c | 1,507$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.41 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Under | 13c | 1,466$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 49c | 1,308$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.71 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 66c | 1,287$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.58 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 1,237$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.48 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 24c | 1,194$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 1,049$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.74 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 58c | 1,037$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.87 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 26c | 1,026$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 69c | 1,001$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Over | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…ee48backed Under | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 879.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 855.05$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 75c | 794.91$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 764.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 71c | 735.27$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 45c | 717.15$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.85 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Over | 72c | 704.36$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.81 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…feedbacked Over | 75c | 662.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.57 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Over | 62c | 646.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 25c | 627.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 615.16$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.16 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 26c | 613.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Under | 49c | 606.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 27c | 590$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 577.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 73c | 563.99$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 24c | 558.03$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 74c | 541.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 75c | 532.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 498.29$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 27c | 490.14$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 485.22$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 61c | 464.05$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 463.45$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.18 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…8e51backed Over | 49c | 455.32$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 450.27$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 27c | 383.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 50c | 379.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.54 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 26c | 374.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 25c | 373.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 73c | 368.52$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 60c | 362.35$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 17c | 359$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 73c | 342.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Over | 74c | 337.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 47c | 331.91$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Under | 37c | 328.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 44c | 295.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 74c | 283.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6c1abacked Over | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 31c | 272.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 74c | 267$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Over | 74c | 266.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over | 50c | 266$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…ab92backed Over | 75c | 264.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 66c | 257.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 244.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 26c | 241.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 62c | 240.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5this page
- Germany vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ghana won
- Spread: Ghana (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ghana (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.