TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes19c13,333$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c12,926$9,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.8898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c6,874$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.1746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No66c4,291$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.011283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed No75c3,940$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes38c3,714$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.15156.7%1 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.34per pick41cpaid-77%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes38c3,628$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3901643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c2,625$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.2947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes32c2,406$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Yes39c2,051$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes41c1,792$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7261338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes33c1,788$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.592025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes38c1,716$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes17c1,500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No61c1,316$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.247549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Yes20c1,223$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.545925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes31c1,045$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.7311063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes28c1,000$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c965.35$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No63c821.74$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+70.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes31c803.63$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.1310757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No62c779.98$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.391346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes18c761.11$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9943…54a9backed Yes37c692$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes50c691.11$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa32a…8ba3backed Yes37c654.89$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Yes30c648.84$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.781540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes36c584.21$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2114729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes33c556.52$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44dc…2ddbbacked Yes39c503.86$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes39c489.88$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes31c457.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No63c451.33$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.873253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No63c451.33$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.874148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No58c437.2$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.031957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c422.96$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6730055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No63c418.25$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.33850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No60c369.99$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…1373backed Yes37c357$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes30c324.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes22c319.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed No63c316.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.062070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes31c294.11$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.043354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No63c273.08$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.041861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes22c264.9$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.472441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes39c264.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b41…764cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes39c257.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No63c251.24$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.99966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Yes41c243.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.771369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c240.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes38c226.08$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.584353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x834a…8dcabacked Yes38c218.78$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c216.65$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3311752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783f…8f90backed Yes32c210.16$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…bc74backed Yes29c205.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c199.76$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes29c186.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes38c184.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No61c167$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5524732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c165.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01b3…8598backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No74c154.07$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.742147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No70c136.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.372650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No77c136.48$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3312532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…4b27backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No63c129.36$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.142846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No71c126.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.371952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed No63c110.7$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes30c107.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8730536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes18c100.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0370%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes35c99.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.952951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes24c84.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No74c83.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.464252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…ccd1backed Yes38c80.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes22c77.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Yes39c77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No63c75.16$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.811850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.516858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked No63c73.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.271172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed No62c73.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.923154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9d…9db3backed Yes38c73.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes31c72.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No69c71.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed No73c68.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.052770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.