TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c18,527$4,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,538.082737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c8,808$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,175.0546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c8,476$6,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,166.4598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c6,106$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,058.7213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c2,980$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.9347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes44c1,898$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.431283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c1,814$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.919336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yes39c1,464$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes42c1,405$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81714060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c1,379$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.1114955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes30c1,329$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.8230536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No73c1,314$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No73c1,310$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.131070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes62c1,108$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.391338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No45c999.97$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.993545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes69c928.16$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.599431.9%30 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes26c800$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5965119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c729.87$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.8830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No39c722.32$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.28520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No16c595.42$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.981346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c588.1$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2443748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.922166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No73c531.7$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.147048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No74c504.87$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed No12c491.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.831010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-86.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No73c479$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.675558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No73c476.96$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.183253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes77c393.87$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No73c391.73$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.967549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.627435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes29c382.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes64c381.22$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.425853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c374.96$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.3511940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes41c340.4$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.0711858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No24c327.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2612532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c320.15$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No73c314.88$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.093850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes78c304.11$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.252441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes26c296.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.155933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No74c287.84$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No73c281.23$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.34148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes25c280$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No73c269.64$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.841560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa912…297fbacked No73c251.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.41966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c249.97$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3213243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c239.66$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6424732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No50c236.81$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c227.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.082030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes62c212.9$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No14c212.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.356823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No73c210$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No73c210$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No74c199.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes43c186.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No73c185$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.051163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No73c180$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No22c167.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9130954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No75c166$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.51070%7 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No18c162.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No74c135.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes57c134.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.284100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes71c129.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No75c128.87$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.082147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No40c126.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed Yes54c121.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.715100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+127.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked No74c118.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.38475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes26c114.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed No73c109.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No33c109.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No53c107.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.824353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes25c100.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.655255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+74.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7313551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes29c99.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.07650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No75c98.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.152326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed No28c94.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No54c90.09$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.742454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No74c90$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.92770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3066…2993backed No35c85.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked No62c77.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.