Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia vs. France: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x342da3ee8aa11c0eff0e71cf1c1f9e2d04bc217d0a0ccce4caa26976a8ec3edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 5,318$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.63 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 79c | 3,900$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.99 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 79c | 3,587$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 2,275$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.49 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 1,311$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 20c | 1,136$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 3c | 1,060$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed Under | 3c | 1,026$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under | 22c | 961.4$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 20c | 785$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.48 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 21c | 759.18$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 21c | 732.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 19c | 705.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…feedbacked Over | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 20c | 622.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 18c | 499.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 21c | 483.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 21c | 482.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 18c | 482.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 26c | 419$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 21c | 405.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 382.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 18c | 255.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 18c | 225.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Under | 26c | 223.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 21c | 157.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 21c | 156.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 21c | 143.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 21c | 143.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 77c | 129.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 21c | 128.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 24c | 122.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Under | 10c | 116.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 21c | 112.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 17c | 101.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 23c | 96.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 21c | 91.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 21c | 86.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 19c | 82.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 18c | 77.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 80c | 71.76$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…a696backed Under | 21c | 70.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…d1a4backed Over | 80c | 60.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…7379backed Under | 20c | 57.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 79c | 51.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Over | 80c | 43.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…580fbacked Over | 80c | 41.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 80c | 40.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…e7afbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked Over | 78c | 19.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…75a9backed Over | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia vs. France: O/U 1.5this page
- Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colombia vs. France: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colombia vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)France won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)France won
- Spread: France (-1.5)France won
- Spread: France (-2.5)Colombia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.