TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. France: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,984

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under50c9,032$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,515.965050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b0…dcd6backed Under45c5,000$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over63c4,954$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.9615844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over20c2,410$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.8930220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Under20c1,966$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over59c1,600$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.0722656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over18c1,482$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26245428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Under75c1,291$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.88175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-92.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under75c1,130$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under80c820.08$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.026454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over17c731.59$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.371952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over20c638.36$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125130%0 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over14c549.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.25529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c414.76$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.082,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c403.53$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Under50c402.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.48933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c396.12$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.131,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over17c347.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under80c313$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.659752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under77c285.33$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.392,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Over20c255.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502524%6 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under79c251.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.944259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under74c247.97$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.786358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over21c238.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7070…09debacked Under26c217.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+93.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under79c200$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Over35c199.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over19c199.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.964035%14 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under77c197.84$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over50c189$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.515859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over43c176.12$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c173.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.33647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.310740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over50c165.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Over17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Over18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over42c122.48$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over18c120$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.636329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa919…237abacked Over19c114$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be1…2b7ebacked Over19c114$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over51c112.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.83959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cc…2506backed Over19c109$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Under53c105.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+74.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0209…ad12backed Over19c101$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over24c94.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3146536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over54c90$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499759.8%58 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf167…da8abacked Over19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87df…48f3backed Under48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4026047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.419047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over42c70.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82931%9 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over33c70.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5182348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…5d9abacked Under63c68.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.633551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c64.01$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.239551.1%202 W · 193 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Over50c55.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under54c54.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under73c52.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3914763.9%94 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over45c52.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.851414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over28c50.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2812744.1%56 W · 71 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bc8…78fdbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13d…6b6ebacked Under64c46.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over29c44.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under56c43.52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.15451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under48c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3663745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Over24c41.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.167443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over27c40.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over43c39.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under57c35.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.382944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under60c33.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2340355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Under62c32.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3855153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c7…68f4backed Under70c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Under74c28.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed Under67c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.912070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under79c25.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.427143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4947…d93abacked Over80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over50c24.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over48c20.8$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92540%10 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.446055%33 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69347.3%44 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3273…b03ebacked Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…c86cbacked Under52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under73c18.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9915950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Under67c18.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.012339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.