Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d4473c7cb0b2f479019ccd34c857b0d5807f5ba016e109795e8daf38c6043b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 27c | 847.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.75 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 387.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Under | 33c | 368.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 69c | 213.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 194.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 69c | 147.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 145.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 129.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 74c | 122.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 69c | 121.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 120.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 113.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 56c | 94.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 92.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 73c | 72.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 73c | 68.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 73c | 63.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 47c | 61.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed Under | 32c | 56.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 74c | 42.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 74c | 41.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 71c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked Over | 57c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 36c | 28.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 71c | 26.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…08a7backed Over | 63c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…a8f7backed Over | 69c | 24.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 56c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Göztepe SK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.