TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed Over43c18,882$8,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,094.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c13,239$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,113.784,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over65c9,414$6,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,105.511435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c6,106$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.676,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c2,790$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.382,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c2,419$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.3617557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c1,994$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9978146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over66c1,801$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1859446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c1,492$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.851,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under31c1,036$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.221,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under37c877.53$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.772,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under57c843.7$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.799061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under57c592.2$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9223556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c571.7$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6716753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under57c569.49$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9413748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under57c523.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under57c436.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9416757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under57c436.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.949752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under57c435$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0545751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1613347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under57c344.76$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.254254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over50c330$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16532164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under57c312.3$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2975850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c273$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2327752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under57c260.18$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.885147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under57c255.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.871,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under57c227.78$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5739052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over62c225.81$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f77…9c94backed Over46c219.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17a1…8501backed Under51c215.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.72977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a9…e56cbacked Under54c213$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6064…5144backed Under54c211$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x524a…fe98backed Under54c202$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ce…4058backed Over46c199.64$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e8…c39bbacked Over46c197.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…73f4backed Over46c193.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.989154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c188.13$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.111,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24aa…a90ebacked Under54c184$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c178.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4910949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over48c173.88$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.461942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under58c173.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7810547.6%50 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under58c173.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7828859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under58c173.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7810861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under58c173.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7811055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c139.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3280853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under58c126.62$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.574562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c119.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over80c110$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882277.3%17 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…7a37backed Over56c108.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under50c103.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4812549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under57c94$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.423865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c90.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under53c84.92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.183056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Under57c81.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.962642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over48c79.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.354228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over66c74.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c73.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.691,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c69.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.610451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under49c67.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.381,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.555254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe81…0dbcbacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under32c63.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.281,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over76c59.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.64658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Under57c55.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.025060%30 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Under21c52.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.681723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under57c52.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207245.8%33 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under57c45.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.418358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…9debbacked Under57c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed Under57c40.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under52c39.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.892777.8%21 W · 6 L+7.4wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under52c36.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.344634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c35.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6127955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafcd…8014backed Over48c35.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.921040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under46c33.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.469113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under57c33.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.543458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…08d5backed Under42c33.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012968.2%88 W · 41 L+0.4wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under57c29.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.693672.2%26 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over46c27.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.629246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under57c25.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.976556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.